воскресенье, 18 января 2015 г.

Opta Stats: Man City to soar as leaders Chelsea wobble

Manuel Pellegrini stayed calm through the season's early dramas

These Opta stats offer optimism to Burnley and Man City, while acting as a warning to Southampton and Chelsea...

Burnley v Crystal Palace (Saturday, 15:00)

The Eagles have failed to score in five of their last six Premier League away games

There may be more positivity in the Crystal Palace camp following Alan Pardew's arrival and a victory over Tottenham, but they have gone four away league fixtures without acquainting ball with net, and they weren't all impossible, with QPR and Aston Villa among their silencers. Burnley have kept clean sheets in two of their three home clashes with bottom-six teams, and shut out Palace at Selhurst Park.

Recommended Bet: Back Burnley to keep a clean sheet @ 2.9215/8

Swansea v Chelsea (Saturday, 15:00)

Jose Mourinho's side have won just one of their last five Premier League away games

Chelsea's title prospects last term were compromised by dropping too many points on the road, particularly to top-half rivals (W3 D3 L3). It appeared as though those problems were behind them at the start of this campaign as they charged past Everton in August, yet the situation has worsened with draws at Man City, Man United and Southampton and defeats to Newcastle and Tottenham. Swansea have lost one home encounter in nine and a mere two in 13 throughout 2014/15.

Recommended Bet: Lay Chelsea to win @ 1.68/13

Newcastle v Southampton (Saturday, 17:30, Sky Sports 1)

The Magpies are unbeaten in ten home Premier League games against the Saints

Southampton thrashed Newcastle 4-0 in September, marking the second season in a row that they inflicted such a beating on the north-east heavyweights. However, they don't have the same impact on Tyneside, being held there in 2013/14 and losing eight of their nine winless visits prior to that. The Magpies' St James' Park form has been surprisingly fierce lately too, with only one league loss suffered in nine.

Recommended Bet: Back Newcastle to win (draw no bet) @ 2.285/4

Man City v Arsenal (Sunday, 16:00, Sky Sports 1)

Manuel Pellegrini has achieved 25 wins from 29 Premier League games at the Etihad Stadium

Arsenal have avoided defeat in all three meetings with Man City since being humbled 6-3 by the champions in December 2013, but the key variable is that none of those redemptive performances were staged at the Etihad Stadium. Their frailty in high-stakes away matches remains. In the previous three campaigns, they travelled to top-five foes 12 times, drawing two and losing ten, and so far this season they have been turned over at Chelsea and Southampton.

Recommended Bet: Back Man City to win @ 1.824/5

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