Against All Odds: Boca and Velez to go all out for Libertadores place

Can Boca Juniors become a great force once again?

There's a huge match in Argentina tonight as Boca Juniors take on Velez for the right to play in the upcoming Copa Libertadores, and Paul Robinson is expecting at least three goals.

Boca Juniors v Velez
Thursday January 29, 01:15 GMT

A six time winner of the Copa Libertadores, Boca Juniors will be desperate to qualify for the competition once again. They last won it in 2007 and if they can negotiate their way past Velez, I wouldn't rule them out winning it again.

There's no denying that there's a lot on the line tonight but I don't anticipate a cagey affair. 'Xeneizes' are usually good for goals and their matches averaged a solid 2.53 each time last season, with eight of their 19 rewarding under 2.5 layers. 

Opponents, Velez, were a lot less prolific as with only 21 scored from their 19 outings, their fixtures averaged 2.26 goals per 90 minutes. Seven of the 19 still saw at least three goals scored though and in the campaign before that, Miguel ngel Russo's side were knocking them in for fun.

We haven't exactly been on our best run of late but that happens in betting and hopefully things will turn around, starting tonight. I really like our chance of goals in this one, so with under 2.5 goals trading at around the 1.538/15 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.   

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Boca Juniors v Velez @ 1.538/15

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 26 pts
Returned: 19.7 pts
P/L: - 6.3 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)