Against All Odds: Argentinian clash to be defence friendly

Will River Plate get over their disappointment?

The start of the season in Argentina is on the horizon and Paul Robinson is tipping that the warm-up friendly between River Plate and Independiente to be low-scoring.

River Plate v Independiente
Wednesday January 28, 01:10 GMT

A poor end to the campaign ended up costing River Plate their second successive league title and they will be desperate to make amends in 2015. On the whole they are still the best team in the country and I wouldn't back against them regaining the championship this year.

Marcelo Gallardo's side haven't exactly performed well in their three recent friendly outings though as they are still to score a goal. 1-0 defeats to Universitario and Boca Juniors sandwiched a 0-0 draw at home to Estudiantes. Those scorelines lead me to believe that there won't be too many goals tonight either as 'Los Millonarios' are usually very solid at the back.

Independiente enjoyed a fine season last time following their promotion back to the top flight. A fourth place finish was about the best they could hope for and while they lost two of their last three fixtures, they would have only finished in third place if they'd have won them.

Jorge Almirn's men were involved in plenty of high-scoring affairs last year but their sole pre-season friendly finished 1-0. It's also worth noting that over 20% of their games last term rewarded over 1.5 goal layers.

I very much doubt that this will be full of goals and I quite like the look of 0-0. That's why, with over 1.5 goals trading at around the 1.51/2 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.  

Recommended Bet
Lay Over 1.5 goals in River Plate v Independiente @ 1.51/2

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 25 pts
Returned: 19.7 pts
P/L: - 5.3 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)