среда, 3 декабря 2014 г.

Opta Stats: Tottenham's improving attack to be hushed

Roberto Soldado scored his first Premier League goal since March in his previous appearance against Everton

Judging by these Opta trends, there will be midweek clean sheets for Chelsea and Crystal Palace, and wins for Burnley and Everton...

Burnley v Newcastle (Tuesday, 19:45)

The Magpies have lost four of their last five league trips to Turf Moor, including three in a row

Newcastle swing so wildly between hot and cold streaks that their loss at West Ham likely carries far more weight in how they will perform at Burnley than the six wins prior to it. They hadn't beaten a Premier League side all season before hitting that form. Burnley also realise the value of momentum, having taken as many points from their past three top-flight games (seven) as the preceding 14.

Recommended Bet: Back Burnley to win @ 2.942/1

Crystal Palace v Aston Villa (Tuesday, 20:00)

Aston Villa have failed to score in seven of their last eight league visits to Palace

Villa broke their habit of the season and scored in their previous two matches against Southampton and Burnley. However, they have still netted a mere seven times in 13 fixtures, firing seven blanks in that period. Three arrived on their other ventures to the capital to face Chelsea, QPR and West Ham, and Crystal Palace have shut out their two other guests this term who are below them in the table.

Recommended Bet: Back Crystal Palace to keep a clean sheet @ 2.588/5

Chelsea v Tottenham (Wednesday, 19:45)

Jose Mourinho's side have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 14 Premier League home matches

For all the talk of Emmanuel Adebayor and Roberto Soldado's ineffectiveness, Tottenham have only actually failed to score twice in 13 league outings, so it might appear risky to forecast a flop against Chelsea, who haven't been at their clean sheet-collecting best. Spurs struck in just two of their eight clashes with top-four finishers in 2013/14 though, and Chelsea definitely seem a fit for that category.

Recommended Bet: Back Chelsea to keep a clean sheet @ 2.021/1

Everton v Hull (Wednesday, 19:45)

No Hull player has ever scored a second-half goal in the Premier League against Everton

Everton have led three of their most recent four home games at the break, while Hull have notched just once in their last five encounters at any venue. If both patterns hold out then the Toffees will be ahead on the 45-minute mark at Goodison Park. The bolded trend overhead drops a heavy hint that in such a scenario, Roberto Martinez's men shouldn't have much trouble seeing out their advantage.

Recommended Bet: Back Everton to lead at half time and full time @ 2.3811/8

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