Against All Odds: Fulham's goal trend to continue

We're craving goals at the Cottage this evening

There are usually goals when Fulham are involved and Paul Robinson thinks it will be the same again this evening when Brighton are in town.

Fulham v Brighton
Monday December 29, 20:00 GMT

Following their relegation from the Premier League last season, Fulham haven't exactly lived up to their expectations of being one of the favourites for promotion. Felix Magath may be long gone but The Cottagers are still down in 16th place in the division - a dozen points adrift of the play-off places.

It doesn't take a genius to know where the problem lies, as with 41 goals conceded, only Huddersfield have a poorer defensive record. Kit Symons' side don't have those problems at the other end however so if they tighten up at the back, promotion might not be out of the question. 

They are the eighth highest scorers in the division and that has led to their games averaging 3.3 goals each time. A massive 15 of their 23 fixtures have rewarded under 2.5 goal layers and that includes their five most recent at Craven Cottage.

Opponents, Brighton, narrowly missed out on promotion last year and it's highly likely that they'll miss out again as at the halfway point of the campaign, they sit second from bottom. Sami Hyypia resigned prior to their last match and, as of writing, the position is still vacant.

In their first game since he departed, The Seagulls came from behind to draw 2-2 with Reading. That match obviously featured three goals or more, as have four of their last six. The recent stats make even more appealing reading if we narrow them down to their results on the road as away from The Amex three of their last four have gone over 2.5, and that includes a 3-2 defeat and a 3-3 draw.

It's hugely surprising that under 2.5 goals is odds-on given the teams involved, which is why, with it trading at around the 1.9110/11 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.  

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Fulham v Brighton @ 1.9110/11

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 347 pts
Returned: 366.34 pts
P/L: + 19.34 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)