понедельник, 29 декабря 2014 г.

Opta Stats: Tottenham to follow away win template

Christian Eriksen is a solid sidekick in Spurs' Harry Kane Show

The Boxing Day Opta stats bring good news to Southampton, Tottenham and quite possibly West Ham...

All matches are at 15:00 on Boxing Day unless stated

Chelsea v West Ham (12:45, Sky Sports 1)

Chelsea's last five Boxing Day matches have seen a total of just six goals scored

Nothing that Chelsea have produced on Boxing Day in recent times has rivalled 2007's 4-4 draw with Aston Villa for entertainment and their Stamford Bridge scraps with West Ham aren't usually high on goals either. Neither of the latest two went over 2.5 goals - with last season's 0-0 draw inspiring Jose Mourinho's "19th-century football" critique of Sam Allardyce's side - and only two of the last seven did.

Recommended Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 2.47/5

Crystal Palace v Southampton

Saints have won the last five league games against Crystal Palace without the Eagles finding the net

Southampton are back folks, with a timely reprisal of the 3-5-2 formation that worked so well for Ronald Koeman at Feyenoord delivering a 3-0 victory over Everton. Despite that and a P9 W6 D2 L1 record against bottom-half clubs, the Saints are above evens to triumph at Crystal Palace, who are pointless against top-six opposition (five defeats) and have lost four in six at home to teams above them.

Recommended Bet: Back Southampton to win @ 2.186/5

Leicester v Tottenham

In the last four meetings between these two sides, the team scoring first failed to go and win (D1 L3)

Tottenham now have an established formula for away Premier League combat which has yielded three wins in four. It always involves a 2-1 scoreline and frequently task them with rallying from 0-1 down, often encouraged by a reckless sending off for an in-the-ascendancy home player. Leicester's combination of five successive reverses but only two blanks fired in the process indicates that they will play their part perfectly.

Recommended Bet: Back Tottenham to win and both teams to score @ 3.9n/a

Sunderland v Hull

There have been six red cards in six Premier League meetings between these two sides

While the accepted protocol for booking Christmas holiday as a footballer is to be dismissed in the game before, earning a three-match ban that sees you out until the FA Cup third round, an early Boxing Day bath has plenty of merit too, potentially gifting you until January 10 off. With a ridiculous five sendings off in the previous three league Black Cats-versus-Tigers dogfights (well, feline fights), expect someone to violently submit their application for leave.

Recommended Bet: Back there to be a sending off @ 4.3100/30

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