Bayern keeper Manuel Neuer has more clean sheets than a laundromat
There's a full midweek programme in the Bundesliga, and Kevin Hatchard has picked out his best bets...
Bayern Munich v Freiburg
Tuesday December 16, 19:00
Live on BT Sport 2
For the fourth season in a row, Bayern Munich have been crowned as "Autumn Champions", which means they will be top of the Bundesliga table at Christmas. Pep Guardiola's men are still unbeaten, and they are now nine points clear at the top after they thrashed Augsburg 4-0, and second-placed Wolfsburg could only draw 1-1 with Paderborn.
Although Augsburg held Bayern at bay for nearly an hour, the champions were irresistible once the deadlock had been broken. They scored four goals in 13 minutes, including a highly-impressive brace from Arjen Robben. The terrifying strength of their squad was highlighted when Mario Gotze and Thomas Muller were brought off the bench with the game already in the bag.
The market expects another comfortable victory on Tuesday night against Freiburg, and I have to agree. The Black Forest side are hard-working but limited, and they laboured to a goalless stalemate against fellow strugglers Hamburg at the weekend. Christian Streich's men have scored just 15 goals in 15 games, and only Hamburg have netted fewer goals.
That lack of attacking spark for Freiburg could be our key to profit. Bayern have conceded just three Bundesliga goals all season, and they've kept clean sheets in seven of their last eight outings in all competitions. They are trading at 1.845/6 to win to nil, and given Freiburg's struggles in front of goal, that seems a sensible bet.
Recommended Bet
Back Bayern Munich to win to nil at 1.845/6
Borussia Dortmund v Wolfsburg
Wednesday December 17, 19:00
Live on BT Sport 2
Every time it seems as though Borussia Dortmund are about to kickstart their season, the engine dies and they are back to square one. Saturday's 1-0 defeat at Hertha Berlin encapsulated their wretched season - bad defending, missed chances and an injury. Armenian playmaker Henrikh Mkhitaryan will be out for the rest of the year, giving coach Jurgen Klopp yet another selection headache.
BVB are back in the bottom three, and they could do without having to face a Wolfsburg side that has won 12 of its last 16 games in all competitions, losing just twice in that sequence. Don't be fooled by Sunday's draw with Paderborn - the Wolves utterly dominated the game, and had Ivan Perisic scored a penalty to make it 2-0, it could've been a hammering for the newly-promoted side.
I still think Dortmund can drag themselves out of trouble, but I'm not sure they'll start that process in this one. It's impossible to back them at 1.910/11, given the strength of opposition and the fact they have lost nine of their 15 league games this term. Wolfsburg are on a great run, and players like Kevin De Bruyne are more than capable of exposing Dortmund's defensive flaws.
Recommended Bet
Lay Borussia Dortmund at 1.910/11
Eintracht Frankfurt v Hertha Berlin
Wednesday December 17, 19:00
Eintracht Frankfurt's winning run came to a halt on Friday, as they lost a thrilling game 3-2 at Hoffenheim. The Eagles looked great going forward, with Haris Seferovic a menace throughout, but they are badly missing injured defender Carlos Zambrano.
Frankfurt have been one of the division's most entertaining teams this term, and it's worth noting that 10 of their 15 Bundesliga games this term have featured at least four goals. Only Bayern Munich have scored more goals than Frankfurt's tally of 29. Seferovic has to testify in a court case in Spain involving his ex-girlfriend, but should be back in time for the game.
Hertha Berlin are on a high after Saturday's win over Dortmund, but their away record is pretty poor. They have collected just four points from seven road matches, and their only away win was an outrageous smash-and-grab effort at FC Cologne. Hertha leak a lot of goals on the road - they have conceded 16 at an average of more than two per game.
There is plenty of evidence to suggest that Frankfurt are worth backing for the win at 2.226/5, but I'm wary of the fact the hosts have lost three home games already this term. Instead, I'm going for Over 3.5 Goals at an overpriced 2.915/8. I don't trust either defence, and most of Frankfurt's games this term have featured plenty of goals.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 3.5 Goals at 2.915/8
Paderborn v Schalke
Wednesday December 17, 19:00
Paderborn have done superbly well to be in the top ten at this stage of the season, but in the last few weeks they have started to find the division a bit tougher. They were hugely fortunate to escape from the Volkswagen Arena on Sunday with a point, and Andre Breitenreiter's men have now gone five league games without a win.
Paderborn have incredible battling qualities, but they have been making bad starts to matches in the last month or so. In their last five games they have trailed at half-time, but in three of those they have fought back to secure a draw.
Schalke need a response after Saturday's abject 2-1 home defeat to FC Cologne, a game that ended on a very disturbing note as S04 assistant manager Sven Hubscher had his head cut by a lighter thrown from the crowd. I suspect Saturday was a blip, as Schalke have generally been playing pretty well in the Bundesliga under Roberto Di Matteo. They have won their last two away games at Maribor (1-0) and Stuttgart (4-0), and I think they can secure a result here against a side that surely can't keep mounting great escapes.
Recommended Bet
Back Schalke Draw No Bet at 1.834/5
Kevin will be commentating on Borussia Dortmund v Wolfsburg on TuneIn with talkSPORT. To hear live radio commentary of the game, search for "Bundesliga English" on the TuneIn app or website. You can also follow Kevin on Twitter @kevinhatchard
2014/15 Bundesliga P/L (1 pt per bet)
Points Staked: 61
Points Returned: 58.8
P/L: -2.2 points
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