среда, 3 декабря 2014 г.

The Big Wednesday Multiple: Saints to be sinners in North London

How will Southampton react to their defeat to City?

It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections...

Bet 1: Arsenal (HOME) @ 1.8 (4/5) - Live on BT Sport 1 at 19:45 

It's been a relatively lacklustre season for Arsenal so far but they have at least already qualified for the knockout phase of the Champions League and come into this game on the back of a win at West Brom on Saturday.

The pressure has eased on Arsene Wenger a touch and the Frenchman will be further boosted by the return of central defender, Laurent Koscielny. 

Southampton have clearly been the surprise package of the season as they are up in third with 26 points. They have had a kind run of fixtures though and when they faced their first real test at the weekend, they were comfortably beaten by Manchester City.

It's a big ask for them to bounce straight back - especially at The Emirates - and The Gunners look like excellent value to secure their third win in a week.

Bet 2: Man City (AWAY) @ 1.5 (1/2)  

After being written off in the title race by many, Manchester City are now up to second in the league, with the gap to Chelsea only six points. Obviously that's still a considerable margin given the form of The Blues, but there are still 75 points to play for this term.

Manuel Pellegrini's men have now won their last three matches in all competitions and Yaya Toure appears to be coming back to somewhere near his best. Throw in the red-hot, Sergio Aguero up front, and City should be good enough to beat anyone.

Opponents, Sunderland, earned a precious point on this ground on Saturday evening as they held Chelsea to a 0-0 draw. I don't expect Gus Poyet to change his negative tactics too much, but that result would have taken a lot out of his players and they could be vulnerable to the irresistible attack of the reigning Premier League champions.

Bet 3: Chelsea v Tottenham (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.72 (8/11)  

Jose Mourinho and his side have carried all before them this season and they remain unbeaten in all competitions. The key to their success has been in the attacking areas as the trio of Diego Costa, Eden Hazard and Oscar have been hugely impressive in particular. 

The former is missing tonight through suspension but I doubt that will hinder their potency too much as they have so much quality in the final third. A whopping 30 goals in 13 league fixtures highlights that, but then at the other end, their defence haven't been as tight as last year.

Tottenham have been quietly creeping up the table and their 2-1 win over Everton on Sunday was perhaps their best performance of the campaign. The return of Aaron Lennon added some much needed pace into the team and Roberto Soldado and Harry Kane seem to be developing a decent partnership up front.

The men from White Hart Lane have seen their last four away games go over 2.5 goals and while they may well lose here, I can definitely see them scoring.

Bet 4: Everton v Hull (Under 2.5 goals) @ 2.05 (21/20)  

It had been a slow start to the season for Everton but up until Sunday, they hadn't been beaten since the beginning of October. The Toffees were a tad unlucky to come up against a resurgent Tottenham but they could still have had a draw if the referee had awarded a penalty late on in the game.

Hull City have really struggled of late and they have slipped into the relegation zone. Steve Bruce's side haven't won since October 4th and since that success over Crystal Palace, they've taken just two points from a possible 18 - losing their last four in a row.

Scoring goals has been a huge issue and it's not just one goal in five for The Tigers. I really can't see them scoring this evening and the bus will no doubt be parked in order to stifle Everton's attack.

Recommended Multiple

Back Arsenal @ 1.8 (4/5)
Back Man City @ 1.5 (1/2)
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Chelsea v Tottenham @ 1.72 (8/11)
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Everton v Hull @ 2.05 (21/20)

The Multiple pays approximately 9.52 (17/2)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 48 pts
Returned: 91.05 pts
P/L: + 43.05 pts
(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)

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