Against All Odds: Peruvian final to entertain

Will the champagne be on ice for Sporting Cristal?

The Peruvian season comes to an end tonight and Paul Robinson believes that the goals will flow when Sporting Cristal take on Juan Aurich.

Sporting Cristal v Juan Aurich
Thursday December 18, 01:00 GMT

This is the second leg of the Championship Final as Clausura winners, Sporting Cristal, take on Apertura winners, Juan Aurich. The first leg finished 2-2 at the weekend and there should be plenty of goals once again.

The hosts come into this game having had three of their last five outings reward under 3.5 layers. They will be hugely disappointed to have thrown two late goals away on Sunday but that just highlights their defensive frailties. 

Juan Aurich looked down and out with a couple of minutes to go but they showed great resolve in scoring their two late goals and while they don't have home advantage like they did then, you can't quite rule them out.

As far as their goal stats go, three of their last four have ended with exactly four goals being scored and they rarely keep a clean sheet on the road. It's also worth noting that these two clubs have already met five times during 2014, with the scorelines being 5-1, 2-0, 3-4, 4-1 and 2-2.

This has got all the makings of a goal-fest, so with under 3.5 goals trading at around the 1.491/2 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.  

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 3.5 goals in Sporting Cristal v Juan Aurich @ 1.491/2

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 338 pts
Returned: 354.67 pts
P/L: + 16.67 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)