Premier League Tuesday Previews: Aston Villa to produce at last

Gabriel Agbonlahor has thwarted Hull twice before

Michael Lintorn fancies Aston Villa to win at Hull, Arsenal to lead Leicester by half time and all to end even at Sunderland, kind of...

Arsenal 1.330/100 v Leicester 13.5n/a; The Draw 6.25/1

As submissive as Arsenal were after taking the lead at Tottenham last time out, it appears almost certain that they will recover with a victory against Leicester.

The Gunners have claimed 19 points from a possible 21 at home to clubs below them, while only QPR have earned fewer points on their travels than Leicester's seven. The Foxes' three trips to top-six teams - Chelsea, Southampton and Man United - all ended in defeats by two-goal margins.

If determining the final outcome really is that straightforward, then what about the half-time result? The statistics again lean in Arsenal's favour, with Arsene Wenger's men leading on 45 minutes in each of their previous five encounters at the Emirates Stadium.

Leicester trailed at the break in four of their past five away outings, conceding six without reply in the latest three. They found themselves 3-0 down at Old Trafford on 45 minutes in their most recent road trip.

Recommended Bet: Back Arsenal to lead at half time and full time @ 1.865/6

Hull 2.3611/8 v Aston Villa 3.711/4; The Draw 3.259/4

CONTENT WARNING: the following extract features an Aston Villa win tip, despite their nine-game run without beating a top-flight adversary and them scoring just two goals in that period. Those of a low incredulity threshold are advised to read on at their own risk.

Let's start with the historic reasons. Villa have never lost at the KC Stadium, visiting four times in the past decade and achieving three triumphs and a draw. They have never even conceded at the Tigers' home. Paul Lambert's side also won the two meetings in the last 12 months - both at Villa Park.

Even if you focus exclusively on 2014/15, the omens are more promising for Villa. Hull are two points worse off in the table owing to only two wins in 17 and ten defeats in 15, and they have prevailed in a mere two domestic matches as hosts.

Aston Villa have won more away games than any other club 14th or lower (three), while Hull rank last in the bottom six head-to-head league, with four points from a possible 18. They failed to fire in either of their two such fixtures in front of their fans against West Brom and Leicester.

Recommended Bet: Back Aston Villa to win @ 3.711/4

Sunderland 1.9620/21 v QPR 4.67/2; The Draw 3.613/5

Many punters will see 1.9620/21 as superb value on the Sunderland win as QPR have lost all 12 of their away games this season. However, the combination of QPR having a different man in the dugout to the dozen defeats and Sunderland's poor home league record (P12 W2 D6 L4) creates doubt.

A similarly-priced bet with plenty of substance is for the match to end with an even number of goals.

Sunderland have drawn 12 of their 24 Premier League assignments this term, most recently away to Swansea on Saturday. Six of the 12 which produced a winner also delivered an even number (two on two occasions, four on three occasions and eight once), meaning that the bet has a 75% strike rate.

Four of QPR's past six league fixtures settled on an even number of goals too, as have more than half of their road ventures over the course of the campaign even without them having the draw to fall back on.

Recommended Bet: Back there to be an even number of goals @ 1.9210/11