четверг, 19 февраля 2015 г.

Opta Stats: Chelsea to avoid the wrath of Ibrahimovic

John Terry will be tasked with keeping Zlatan Ibrahimovic quiet

The Opta trends point to Zlatan Ibrahimovic failing to score against Chelsea and Bayern Munich firing a first-half blank...

Both matches are on Tuesday at 19:45

Paris St-Germain v Chelsea (ITV)

Paris St-Germain didn't fail to score in any of their last 18 home games in European competition

Though Chelsea are often excellent defensively on big occasions, they were breached three times at the Parc des Princes last season, and Paris St-Germain have been shut out as hosts just once in over two years. The Blues should score too. They netted home and away against the Ligue 1 title holders in 2013/14 and were hushed in a mere three of their last 20 Champions League road trips.

Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ 2.0421/20

Zlatan Ibrahimovic has scored seven goals in 33 Champions League knockout games

This writer certainly isn't part of the big-match bottler mob, but there is an undeniable case for laying one of the most entertaining players on the planet to strike against Chelsea. The Swede didn't score in this fixture last term even as his team notched three times, and he hasn't been his usual devastating self recently, bagging only three times in his past six domestic outings, with two of those penalties.

Recommended Bet: Lay Ibrahimovic to score @ 2.942/1

Shakhtar v Bayern Munich (Sky Sports 1 and 5)

All four goals conceded by Shakhtar in this Champions League came in the 68th minute onwards

Shakhtar haven't given away a first-half Champions League goal since Bayer Leverkusen's Stefan Kiessling breached them in October 2013, keeping nine successive 45-minute clean sheets in the competition. They didn't score in any of the previous five that weren't against their personal punch-bags BATE Borisov (who they thrashed 7-0 and 5-0) either though, which hints at a goalless first half.

Recommended Bet: Back the half time score to be 0-0 @ 3.55n/a

Bayern Munich's last two Champions League games away from home have produced 13 goals

It might seem contradictory to simultaneously suggest that there will be no goals in the first 45 and at least three in the second period, but check out Bayern Munich's post-interval strike rate and it will all start to make sense. In their last eight encounters alone, they have scored 16 second-half goals, conceding three in the latest four for good measure.

Recommended Bet: Back over 2.5 goals @ 1.824/5

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