League One Betting: Wilson's Tykes can continue Oakwell run

Barnsley's recent signing Milan Lalkovic

With a full set of League One fixtures on Tuesday night, Alan Dudman highlights a trio of matches with potential angles...

Barnsley 2.68/5 v Fleetwood Town 3.02/1, the draw 3.45n/a

The market has this priced up very tightly. Fleetwood are 11th in the table - and reside four places above their Tuesday night hosts, whilst Barnsley's season has never really got going.

The Tykes were beaten by a top two team on Saturday, losing at Swindon 2-0. They were punished by a good side for two defensive errors (one in particular the bete noire of all managers, as they switched off from a short corner). But at least they looked more of a threat in the second-half.

Meanwhile Fleetwood are rather unassumingly having quite a good campaign. Manager Graham Alexander has introduced some good young players, the latest of which; Nick Haughton, enjoyed a decent full debut with Peterborough. A game in which they drew 1-1.

The under 2.5 goals is where you should be looking with the Cod Army. They have only netted 12 away from home all season, and the record of hitting the unders market is excellent - with 14 of their last 15 hitting the mark.

On the outright, Barnsley's home form should be strong enough to take this, but I envisage something along the lines of a 1-0 or 2-0, which is why the under 2.5 goals trades at around 1.855/6. But Danny Wilson's side have enjoyed a fine run at Oakwell, having won four on the spin with only a goal conceded. New signing Milan Lalkovic has a bit of class, and the senior players coming in have strengthened up a squad that was looking rather youthful.

It's not a great pitch either in Yorkshire, and Barnsley have shown when they have scored they like to 'shut up shop' to protect a 1-0. The clean sheet angle is an obvious one, but Wilson's side have only lost one from eight on their own patch recently, and they could chisel out another win.

Recommended Bet
Back Barnsley to win @ 2.68/5

Walsall 2.3411/8 v Rochdale 3.259/4, the draw 3.412/5

Much like the short corner to manager relationship as stated earlier, Walsall are my set-piece, my Achilles heel, my everything. I'm a fan of their manager Dean Smith, but they are mighty hard to predict.

With a 2-0 away victory tucked under their belts from Saturday, Walsall are priced about right, but on their consistency they ought to trade at slightly larger odds. Their form reads WDWDLWLDW, which is actually quite good, but as you can see; they haven't backed up a win in that sequence.

Their Saturday success as mentioned at the Keepmoat was a bit of a 'smash and grab' raid. They lived dangerously against Paul Dickov's side yet hit them fairly clinically on the break. Irony in bucket loads, as that's so often the way for Rovers on the road.

Walsall are too risky to back reading into their home form too. They have won four, drawn five and lost five, including recent defeats against Scunthorpe 1-4, Coventry 0-2, and Swindon 1-4. They enjoyed a fine run at the Banks's back in September, but they are without a win there from their last four, which makes them an opposable price on Tuesday evening.

Rochdale are a decent enough team, and crucially will be fresher as they didn't play on Saturday due to a frozen pitch. Two games in four days is a tough ask, and we know that Rochdale can score a goal on the road - as seen by their latest 2-2 at Coventry.

The Saddlers haven't kept a clean sheet from their last five home outings, and as tempting as it is to side with Rochdale's price, to get two running for us, the lay looks the one.

Recommended Bet
Lay Walsall to win @ 2.3411/8

Crewe Alexandra 2.789/5 v Yeovil Town 2.789/5, the draw 3.55/2

It's fair to say the early markets for this game were viewing it as one of the strongest potential draws on the night, with both home and away priced up evenly.

Four points separate the two at the lower end of the table, and to coin a horrible phrase; they'll be desperate to avoid defeat against one of their relegation rivals. Crewe are massively in and out, but gained three points on Saturday with a 2-3 success at Colchester. Whilst Yeovil are Gary Johnson-less following his sacking last week, but they responded with a 2-1 victory over Crawley.

It was a strange one to sack Johnson, and acting manager Terry Skiverton is overseeing things. He was in the job before, and wasn't particularly successful. But he made his plans clear by making wholesale changes at the weekend, and using a 3-5-2 wing-back formation.

Yeovil outmuscled Crawley on Saturday, and Crewe showed a bit of muscle themselves recently in beating Port Vale. The Alex though still like to pass the ball, with manager Steve Davis using a midfield diamond. Alan Tate was pushed further forward on Saturday, and I anticipate him again used in the sitting role in front of the back four.

It's the sort of game both will be happy with a point, as defeat for Town will leave them seven points behind the Alex. Plus the fact that Yeovil's away from isn't very good (with three defeats from five), it should be an unders affair.

Recommended Bet
Back the draw @ 3.55/2

League One 2014/15 P/L (all selections one point)

-8.18 pts