Against All Odds: Corinthians to roll back the years

Can Corinthians replicate their 2012 success?

Paul Robinson is seeking back to back winners in the Copa Libertadores as he thinks that the goals will flow in Brazil.

Corinthians v Once Caldas
Thursday February 5, 00:00 GMT
Available on Betfair Live Video  

The 2012 winners of this competition looked more like themselves last season as they finished fourth in the Campeonato. Interestingly, Tite has re-joined the club as manager following his exit in 2013 and he will be hoping to relive his glory days as opposed to the stale ones at the end of his tenure.

It's the goals we're interested in tonight and while the Brazilian outfit aren't usually free-scoring, they face weak opposition here. They will be keen to build an unassailable lead before the trip to Colombia and they warmed up for this fixture by putting three past Marilia at the weekend.

Once Caldas also have their name engraved on the Libertadores trophy as they sprung a surprise victory in 2004. The honours have been few and far between since then though and they are making their first appearance in this competition for three years.

I very much doubt that Flabio Torres' men will be progressing through to the group stage but it's not out of the question that they will score in Sao Paulo. El Blanco possess decent attacking options, most namely, Cesar Arias, who netted 12 times in 2014.

Even if the visitors don't score, it's a real possibility that Corinthians will get all three of the goals we need themselves. That's why, with under 2.5 goals trading at around the 1.758/11 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.         

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Corinthians v Once Caldas @ 1.758/11

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 33 pts
Returned: 24.81 pts
P/L: - 8.19 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)