вторник, 1 июля 2014 г.

Wimbledon 2014: Nishikori has the game to derail Raonic

Sean expects Nishikori to be celebrating again today Sean expects Nishikori to be celebrating again today

Tennis expert Sean Calvert enjoyed another big priced tennis winner yesterday at Wimbledon 2014 and he's siding with Kei Nishikori as underdog against Milos Raonic today...

Week two of The Championships Wimbledon 2014 began in good style on Monday when John Isner landed my opening bet of the day at 3.814/5.

My wager on the big man to take the opening set over Feli Lopez 7-6 came to fruition in the predictable tie break fest between the two big servers, but Andy Murray wasted a glut of chances to land my second bet of the day.

Firstly, the rain break in set two derailed the Brit, who was two breaks ahead and then in set three Murray had five break point chances to serve for the match at 5-3, but blew them all.

Over on Court 1 the rain didn't help Leo Mayer's cause either, with the Argentine being called off at 5-6, 30-15 in set two, but in the ensuing tie break Mayer double faulted at 6-7 to lose it and his chance was gone.

Further rain on Monday means that Tuesday's schedule sees the fourth round complete today in the bottom half of the draw, which means that Stan Wawrinka and Feli Lopez are a day behind on rest.

This displeased the Swiss greatly, who blurted out that "they don't listen to the player - they just do what they think is good for them," meaning the Wimbledon schedulers.

I wouldn't worry about it too much, Stan, you might not be in the tournament after today.

Wawrinka and Lopez clash at around 1pm on Court 2 and clearly this one will be decided in the main by fitness, with Lopez having played a lot of tennis over the last few weeks.

The overs mark has been set predictably high and there's a little bit too much guesswork on fitness for my liking in this match, although I would definitely be with Lopez if he hasn't played so much lately.

In the 2pm clash on Court 3 I like the look of Kei Nishikori with pretty much a day's rest against Milos Raonic.

I'm not buying into the Raonic myth on grass just yet and this match will tell us a lot about whether or not the Canadian has made enough adjustments to his game to be a threat on this surface.

Personally, I don't think he has, and if Kei is fit - which is always questionable - he has the tools to unravel the Raonic game and expose his limitations.

Nishikori did well to finish off his tough clash with Simone Bolelli in quick time yesterday and assuming he's fine physically he has the knowledge that he can best Raonic in tight encounters from their career series, which he leads 2-0.

The Japanese star has certainly been one player to benefit from having a former player as coach, with Michael Chang seemingly having added a new dimension to Kei's game this year, with a tougher mentality being one clear improvement.

One of his strengths has always been the return of serve and he hits the ball so cleanly off both wings that I suspect Raonic will have to serve amazingly well to through this one.

The 2.265/4 seems very reasonable to me and will be my bet of Tuesday at Wimbledon.

Recommended Bet
Back Nishikori to beat Raonic at 2.265/4

Wimbledon 2014 profit and loss

Staked: 200.00 (Based on 10 per bet)
Return: 304.00
Profit: +104.00

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