Colombia progress as expected

Colombia progress as expected

By Charlie Rowing Jul 4, 2014

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Colombia, who began the tournament as favourites to qualify from Group C, did so in style by winning all of their group games. Although Los Cafeteros had been rocked by the loss of star striker Radamel Falcao before the start of the World Cup, they showed that they didn’t miss his presence with three wins out of three. Read this 2014 World Cup Group C betting review for an insight into how the group turned out and how accurate the pre-tournament odds were.

2014 World Cup Group C betting review

2014 World Cup Group C final table

Nation

W

D

L

GF

GA

GD

Points

Colombia

3

0

0

9

2

7

9

Greece

1

1

1

2

4

-2

4

Cote d’Ivoire

1

0

2

4

5

-1

3

Japan

0

1

2

2

6

-4

1

Colombia qualified from the group in emphatic style, winning all of their games. Their qualification wasn’t a major surprise as odds of 1.278 gave them an implied probability of 78.25% to reach the knockout stages.

The main surprise of the group came from runners-up Greece, who qualified with a last minute win against the Ivory Coast on matchday three. The Greeks’ odds of qualification were 3.420 – an implied probability of 29.24%. Which suggests that they were the least likely team to qualify from the group.

2014 World Cup Group C pre-tournament implied probability table

Position

Nation

Odds

Implied probability

Actual finishing position

1

Colombia

1.278

78.25%

1

2

Japan

2.070

48.31%

4

3

Cote d’Ivoire

2.160

46.30%

3

4

Greece

3.420

29.24%

2

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