четверг, 31 июля 2014 г.

Germany & USA make it out alive from the group of death

Germany & USA make it out alive from the group of death

By Charlie Rowing Jul 4, 2014

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Germany made it out of Group G alongside the USA at the expense of both Portugal and Ghana. Read this 2014 World Cup Group G betting review for an insight into how the group turned out and how accurate the pre-tournament odds were.

2014 World Cup Group G betting review

2014 World Cup Group G final table

Nation

W

D

L

GF

GA

GD

Points

Germany

2

1

0

7

2

5

7

USA

1

1

1

4

4

0

4

Portugal

1

1

1

4

7

-3

4

Ghana

0

1

2

4

6

-2

1

Germany started their World Cup with a convincing 4-0 win over Portugal, but they were then held by Ghana 2-2 in an open game. However they finally got the job done with a 1-0 win over the USA.

However the revelations of the group were the USA, whose pre-tournament odds of qualifying at 3.770 – an implied probability of 26.53% meant that they were seen as unlikely to qualify.  Portugal on the other hand greatly underperformed as reflected by their odds of 1.513 – an implied probability of 66.09%, and could only manage to win a single game.

2014 World Cup Group G pre-tournament implied probability table

Position

Nation

Odds

Implied probability

Actual finishing position

1

Germany

1.100

90.91%

1

2

Portugal

1.513

66.09%

3

3

USA

3.700

26.53%

2

4

Ghana

3.850

25.97%

4

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