Against All Odds: Gooooooooooooals in Brazil

Things are looking up in Paran

Paul Robinson's quest for a winner takes him to Brazil this evening as he thinks the goals will flow when Atletico PR take on Fluminense.

Atletico PR v Fluminense
Sunday July 27, 20:00 BST
Available on Betfair Live Video  

Atletico PR had a magnificent campaign in 2013 but that was under the now departed Vagner Mancini. They made a slow start to this season but new man in charge, Doriva, has got his side on a roll and four wins from their last five outings has moved them up to sixth in the table. 

It's the goal aspect of things we're concentrating on here though and with 19 scored and 13 conceded, their fixtures are averaging 2.91 goals each time - the second highest in the entire division. Half a dozen of their 11 have gone over 2.5 and four of the five that missed out only did so by a single goal. 

Fluminense had a miserable season last year as the defending champions finished in the relegation zone. Points deductions elsewhere meant that they kept their top flight status and they have improved hugely this term as they are currently up in fifth place.

Cristvo Borges' will be concerned that his team have won just one of their last four but that victory did at least come last time out. As far as the goals go, Flu's matches are averaging 2.55 goals per 90 minutes, and their last away game had five of them.

I can definitely see both sides getting on the scoresheet tonight but I'm confident we'll get at least one more goal. That's why, with under 2.5 trading at around the 1.8810/11 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.   

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Atletico PR v Fluminense @ 1.8810/11 

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 198 pts
Returned: 206.51 pts
P/L: + 8.51 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)