Football Bet of the Day: Danger signs for Red and Black defences

Chest Pains: Vitoria BA have scored six times in two home games with Sao Paulo since 2010

There's a kit-colour derby in north-east Brazil and Tobias Gourlay wouldn't miss it for the world

Vitoria BA v Sao Paulo
Sunday 19:00

Goalless in Italy yesterday. Just how we like it.

Since Vitoria BA returned to the Brazilian top flight their three meetings with Sao Paulo have produced 14 goals. This season the reverse fixture brought a 3-1 win for Sao Paulo. Last season their match in Salvador brought a 3-2 win for the hosts.

More recently, the Red and Blacks have scored twice or more in 6/7 at Barradao. Since Ney Franco took charge they played a total of nine games there and managed just a single clean sheet.

Muricy Ramalho has been at Sao Paulo a little bit longer. Eleven of his team's last 20 away matches have delivered Over 2.5 Goals. They've scored themselves in 14/16 on the road and can help their hosts take this fixture over the goals line once more.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.021/1 in Vitoria BA v Sao Paulo

2014 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 55pts
Returned: 48.21pts

-6.79pts