понедельник, 24 ноября 2014 г.

Football Bet of the Day: Young Boys go for it

Wham, Bam: Young Boys are shooting for the stars in Thun

Goals are a Forte of this afternoon's visitors to Thun, advises Tobias Gourlay

Thun v Young Boys
Sunday 15:00

In the end, there was just one sting in yesterday's tale: Under 3.5 Goals. Alkmaar won 1-0 and we pulled up a chair right next to Vitesse on the losers table.

We expect Switzerland to be more hospitable today. In this season's Super League 5/7 of fourth-placed Thun's home games have delivered Over 2.5 Goals. There was a goalless draw last time out but that came with the help of some bore-draw specialists from Aarau.

This afternoon's visitors are fifth-placed Young Boys, who have scored in 6/6 away games so far this term, helping 4/6 of them over the goals line. They've managed a couple of clean sheets themselves, but both came against teams much further down the table than Thun. 

Since Urs Fischer took over at Thun, 22/34 at the Stockhorn Arena have delivered Over 2.5 Goals. On its own that fraction suggests odds of 1.558/15 on the same happening today.

Since Uli Forte took the Young Boys in hand, 16/24 of their road games have produced Over 2.5 Goals. That fraction says 1.501/2 would be about right.

Instead, we're being offered 1.9520/21.

Tuck in. 

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9520/21 in Thun v Young Boys

2014 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 62pts
Returned: 56.3pts

P/L: -5.7pts

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