четверг, 27 ноября 2014 г.

Champions League Tips: Liverpool to receive a favour

Cristiano Ronaldo has three Champions League goals this season

Michael Lintorn expects Real Madrid to lead at half-time, at least one Olympiakos goal and more Galatasaray misery...

(All matches are on Wednesday at 19:45 and on the Sky Sports Red Button service unless otherwise stated)

Anderlecht v Galatasaray

Match Odds: Anderlecht 2.35/4, Galatasaray 3.45n/a, The Draw 3.613/5

Anderlecht are winless in five as hosts, and yet Galatasaray have been so dismal recently that the Belgian club still seem like great value at the above-evens price of 2.35/4. Having taken a point in Istanbul in their Group D opener (and very nearly all three), Anderlecht led Arsenal until the 89th minute at home, before recovering from 0-3 down in the final half hour at the Emirates for a point.

Galatasaray by contrast have conceded four goals in all three Champions League ties since snatching an injury-time draw when entertaining Anderlecht at the start. They were also turned over 0-3 at their own Turk Telekom Arena by Trabzonspor on Saturday, their fourth defeat by three or more goals in six games, to increase the pressure on struggling high-profile appointment Cesare Prandelli.

Recommended Bet: Back Anderlecht to win @ 2.35/4

Atletico Madrid v Olympiakos

Match Odds: Atletico Madrid 1.392/5, Olympiakos 11.010/1, The Draw 5.14/1

Olympiakos won the reverse fixture between these sides 3-2 and will actually be in prime position to top Group A if they complete a double, assuming first place with a home clash against Malmo to finish. However, they are 11.010/1 outsiders because the difference between their Champions League record in Greece (five victories in a row) and on the road (one point from five matches) is so stark.

With the likes of Kostas Mitroglou and Pajtim Kasami finding form and fitness that wasn't so evident when they were part of Fulham's Premier League relegation, Olympiakos don't have trouble scoring though, netting twice at Juventus. They have been shut out just once in 11 Champions League group-stage outings, and Atletico have conceded three times across two November home games to date.

Recommended Bet: Back Atletico Madrid not to keep a clean sheet @ 2.186/5

FC Basel v Real Madrid (Sky Sports 3)

Match Odds: FC Basel 8.615/2, Real Madrid 1.434/9, The Draw 5.39/2

The Opta trends aren't encouraging reading for Liverpool fans regarding their trip to Ludogorets, but the Reds can at least be fairly confident of a bit of assistance from Group B leaders Real Madrid away to the team that the Merseysiders need to catch in second, FC Basel.

Real Madrid have achieved 14 successive triumphs across all competitions. They were ahead by half time in each of the latest five and all of the most recent nine besides the Clasico with Barcelona, and they had scored four times within 37 minutes when they collided with FC Basel at the Bernabeu.

Recommended Bet: Back Real Madrid to lead at half time and full time @ 2.111/10

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