Against All Odds: Banfield to let down favourite backers

We're flying our flag in Argentina today

The action comes from Argentina for Paul Robinson tonight as he feels that Quilmes can take at least a point from their trip to Banfield.

Banfield v Quilmes
Friday November 21, 23:30 GMT
Available on Betfair Live Video 

Following their promotion from the second tier last year, Banfield have performed with credit in the Primera Division to date. While they are down in 17th place, it's a very tight league and they are as many points behind ninth place as they are ahead of bottom. 

Winning games hasn't been their strength though as with only four victories, their win percentage is just 25%. Matas Almeyda's side have won just one of their last seven, and while four of those were draws, odds-on backers need them to win tonight. Even at home it's one victory in five and that came against a struggling, Olimpo.

Opponents, Quilmes, are actually the team who are rooted to the bottom of the table. It's not been a good season so far for The Brewers whatsoever and they will be thankful that there is no relegation before the re-formatting of the leagues takes place.

Pablo Quattrocchi's men have avoided defeat in half of their fixtures though and they beat Velez Sarsfield three weeks ago. Their form on the road doesn't make great reading - three wins and five losses - but they play one of the poorer outfits today and they haven't been getting thrashed out of sight.

It's hard to trust a side at odds-on who win so infrequently, so with their price trading at around the 1.768/11 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.   

Recommended Bet
Lay Banfield v Quilmes @ 1.768/11

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 313 pts
Returned: 332.03 pts
P/L: + 19.03 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)