Opta Big Match Stats: Stay of execution for Man City

Man City took just two points from their first four games

These Opta nuggets put a sock in the Fat Lady's gob before she sings of Man City's Champions League exit...

Man City v Bayern Munich
Tuesday, 19:45
Live on ITV

Match Odds: Man City 3.55/2, Bayern Munich 2.166/5, The Draw 3.8514/5

Man City are winless in their last six games in Europe; they have never been winless for more than six

Even three points against Bayern Munich might ultimately prove fruitless as Man City leave it late to try to secure Champions League progression, but Manuel Pellegrini's men will maximise their chances of an unlikely Group E escape act with victory over the 2012/13 winners.

FC Hollywood may be without defeat in 18 competitive outings and arrive at the Etihad on the back of five successive wins, but they were travelling even smoother when Man City got the better of them at the Allianz Arena last term.

In total 24 teams had tried and failed to topple Pep Guardiola's men, the latter 11 losing, before the Citizens claimed the spoils in Bavaria. The same post-qualification carelessness from Die Roten should come to the hosts' aid again.

Recommended Bet: Back Man City to win @ 3.55/2

Man City haven't kept a clean sheet in 11 Champions League ties (the longest streak in their history)

Calamitous defending allowed Wilfried Bony to fire Swansea into the lead at the Etihad Stadium in Man City's last game and it's tough to envisage their sieve-like rearguard being able to stymie an attack as ferocious as the Bundesliga champions'.

Bayern have only failed to find the net twice since their 2-0 loss to Dortmund in the German equivalent of the Community Shield and racked up 11 goals in their opening four outings in this competition. Man City have leaked six so far, two thirds of these coming in their previous pair of matches against Group E's weakest outfit (in theory) CSKA Moscow.

For those who remain unconvinced, a further segment of Opta insight dispels any doubt as to whether Bayern will bag or not: the Citizens have not kept a clean sheet in any of their nine Champions League home games since the start of 2012/13.

Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ 1.674/6

Jerome Boateng's last-minute goal gave Bayern Munich a 1-0 win against Man City on matchday one

A serial bagger the World Cup winner is not, but an ex-employee coming back to haunt his former club is one of football's most threadbare clichs. The man Kevin-Prince refers to as 'ar kid' has found the net four times in his Bayern career, with his 90th-minute effort to deny Man City in September the latest.

However, the blue-clad club have developed a nasty habit this term of conceding goals to defenders they've paid wages to. In addition to Boateng, Pablo Zabaleta, Eliaquim Mangala and, most recently, Martin Demichelis are all rearguard marshals associated with Man City to have scored against them in 2014/15, so backing the Bayern stopper to notch again is worth the small stake required at 17.5n/a.

Recommended Bet: Back Jerome Boateng to score @ 17.5n/a