The Big Wednesday Multiple: Liverpool to get back on track with vital win

Liverpool need a big result in Bulgaria tonight

It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections...

Bet 1: Atletico Madrid (HOME) @ 1.36 (4/11) - Live on Sky Sports Interactive at 19:45

Champions League runners up Atletico Madrid still need one more win to make absolutely certain of their progress through to the last 16 and as they have to travel to Juventus on the last match day in a fortnight's time, tonight represents their best opportunity.

Diego Simeone's side lost the reverse leg in Greece but their record in front of their own fans is fantastic. They've lost just one game since the middle of May 2013 and that was to Real Madrid. It's been wins nearly all the way since then in all competitions and Los Colchoneros have won their last six in a row.

Olympiakos have performed admirably to date as with just two games to go, they sit in second place. You have to feel that they blew their chance of making the knockout phase in Turin last time though as they led 2-1 with less than half an hour to go and ended up losing 3-2. Even a draw would have made them favourites to progress, but it's likely that they are now relying on results from elsewhere.

The Greeks have lost their last four Champions League matches on the road and they conceded 10 goals in the process. This game will likely follow that pattern.

Bet 2: Liverpool (AWAY) @ 1.95 (19/20) - Live on Sky Sports 5 at 19:45

This selection may be against my better judgement, but Liverpool seem like value to pick up the victory they need in Bulgaria. It's been a tough time for The Reds of late as they come into this match on the back of four successive defeats. Their Champions League hopes are also hanging by a thread and if they want to qualify, they absolutely have to win this evening.

Brendan Rodgers is a man under pressure but I just get the feeling that he has a big result in him and his players can't really get much worse. If they play to anywhere near their potential then they should win.

Opponents, Ludogorets, have performed with credit in this competition thus far as they weren't even expected to make it into the group stage. While they have lost three of their four fixtures, two of them were by a single goal margin and they beat Basel in their last home game.

Georgi Dermendzhiev's side won't make it easy for The Reds, but I just can't see them having the class to avoid a heart-breaking defeat.

Bet 3: FC Basel v Real Madrid (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.5 (1/2) - Live on Sky Sports 3 at 19:45

The other Group B fixture pits FC Basel against Real Madrid and we look to be set for a goal-fest.

The Swiss have had four of their last five fixtures go over 2.5 goals, with three of them going over 3.5. Perhaps even more importantly, Paulo Sousa's charges racked up 14 goals themselves during that period and only conceded one. It's hard to see them keeping a clean sheet tonight, but at least their attacking players are in good form and they will be capable of netting against the reigning champions.

There's not much to say about Real Madrid other than that they are the best team in Europe. Cristiano Ronaldo, Gareth Bale, James Rodriguez and Karim Benzema make for an irresistible forward line and it's actually the latter who has impressed me most this year as the Frenchman has banged in five Champions League goals to date.

This selection is a short price, but it's almost a certainty in my eyes and therefore provides a bit of value.

Bet 4: Zenit v Benfica (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.8 (4/5) - Live on Sky Sports 5 at 19:45

Russian's Zenit St Petersburg come into this fixture sitting third in Group C as themselves, Monaco and Benfica fight it out for second place behind Bayer Leverkusen. Just one point separates the three of them and with the Germans likely to beat Monaco tonight, avoiding defeat here has to be the priority.

Of course, Andr Villas-Boas' side will want to take all three points, but they have to play with caution and that should lead to a low-scoring affair. Three of their four in this competition have already finished with two goals or fewer and their Champions League fixtures have generally always been tight match-ups.

Benfica also need to avoid defeat at all costs and they will have identified their home game in a fortnight's time as their must win fixture. The Portuguese outfit have always been better at defending than attacking and, like their opponents, three of their four this year have rewarded under 2.5 backers.

Jorge Jesus' will likely set his team up to keep a clean sheet and try and nick a goal, and with Zenit doing similar, this has under 2.5 written all over it.

Recommended Multiple

Back Atletico Madrid @ 1.36 (4/11)
Back Liverpool @ 1.95 (19/20)
Back Over 2.5 Goals in FC Basel v Real Madrid @ 1.5 (1/2)
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Zenit v Benfica @ 1.8 (4/5)

*The Multiple pays approximately 7.16 (6/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 47 pts
Returned: 91.05 pts
P/L: + 44.05 pts

(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)