Estoril v PSV: Expect Dutch delight in the Europa League

Phillip Cocu's PSV are on a roll

Having taken in games from Switzerland, Germany and Belgium, Kevin Hatchard continues his European jaunt in Portugal tonight. 

Estoril v PSV
Thursday November 27, 20:05

As a tipster you assess a range of selections, and at times you talk yourself into backing winners, but at other times you can talk yourself out of a good wager. That's what happened last night, as I went for Over 2.5 Goals in Anderlecht v Galatasaray instead of backing the hosts. Anderlecht won 2-0. Gah!!!

That means all three of this week's selections have missed out by just one goal, but never mind, we battle on. It's the Europa League this evening, and a vital clash between Portuguese outfit Estoril and Dutch giants PSV Eindhoven.

PSV will qualify for the last 32 with a win or a draw, while Estoril have to go for it, having lost three of their four group matches so far. One of those defeats was a 1-0 reverse in Eindhoven, and Estoril need to somehow turn around their poor recent form.

Estoril have won just one of their last seven games in all competitions, and their home form is equally shaky, with just two victories from the last eight outings at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra Da Mota. Indeed, the Canaries have won one Primeira Liga game on home soil this season.

I think this game is tailor-made for PSV, as they can invite Estoril to attack them, and then use their abundant pace on the counter. PSV are flying high - the Eredivisie leaders are unbeaten in nine matches in all competitions, and they have won four of their last five away games.  Phillip Cocu's men tend to play well on the road in the Europa League - stretching back into last season they have won five of their last eight UEL road games.

PSV have plenty of firepower - Gladbach and Newcastle flop Luuk De Jong has scored in his last three games, Memphis Depay is one of the rising stars of Dutch football, and the excellent Adam Maher carries a big goal threat in midfield.

I really fancy the visitors, and I'm delighted to see them trading at 2.427/5 for the win. Take advantage of that chunky price.

Recommended Bet

Back PSV to win at 2.427/5 

2014 P/L (1 pt per bet)

Points Staked: 59

Points Returned: 54.41

P/L: -4.59 points