четверг, 27 ноября 2014 г.

Championship Betting: Blackpool to finally win on the road

Will Lee Clark get his first win as Blackpool boss on Saturday?

Mike Norman provides us with three more recommended wagers from Saturday's Championship fixtures, including two in-form home sides as well as perhaps a surprising best bet selection...

Bolton 2.3611/8 v Huddersfield 3.259/4; The Draw 3.613/5

Bolton slightly disappointed in only drawing 1-1 away at Blackpool last Saturday, but they remain of interest and their recent home form entitles them to win this game.

Neil Lennon has overseen three home wins on the spin since he took over at the Macron Stadium and in each of those games the Trotters scored exactly three goals. Brentford, flying high in the table, Cardiff, and Wigan were the opposition, so it's not exactly as if Bolton had some easy matches on paper either (not that there are any of them in this division).

Saturday's opposition Huddersfield have slipped to 14th in the table following just one win in six games and they've conceded three goals in each of their last two away matches - both resulting in defeats.

In fact the Terriers have an extremely poor defensive record on the road; they've managed just one clean all season and in their other nine league and cup away games they've conceded at least three goals on six occasions. Stats, trends, and current form all point to a home victory.

Recommended Bet
Back Bolton to Win @ 2.3611/8

Brentford 2.3211/8 v Wolves 3.259/4; The Draw 3.711/4

This match is almost an identical replica of the above game in that the home side are the team in form, whereas the away side are the ones struggling at present.

I said just a few weeks ago that newly-promoted Brentford could be proud of their mid-table position at this higher level, but since then the Bees have won four straight league games and moved up to fifth in the table.

Mark Warbuton's men have scored 10 goals in those four victories and three of the wins were against top-of-the-table Derby, and early season promotion fancies Nottingham Forest and Fulham. There's no doubt that they are high on confidence and capable of making it five wins on the spin against out-of-form Wolves.

In stark contrast to Brentford, Kennny Jackett's men have conceded 10 goals in three straight defeats including a 5-0 thrashing at Derby and a 0-3 home loss to Forest, coincidentally two of the sides that Brentford defeated in recent weeks.

Form is often turned on its head in this division but on what we've witnessed in recent weeks it's hard to get away from the home side here.

Recommended Bet
Back Brentford to Win @ 2.3211/8

Rotherham 1.768/11 v Blackpool 5.49/2; The Draw 4.03/1

On current form both Bolton and Brentford look rock solid this weekend and perhaps I should have made one of those teams my bet of the day. But I have a strong hunch that Blackpool are about to hit a bit of form, and I'm more than happy to make them my best bet againt a Rotherham side who are really struggling at present.

The case for backing Blackpool on their own form is a hard one to make admittedly - they are yet to win on the road and they are becoming detached at the bottom of the table.

But there have been signs in recent weeks that they are beginning to turn things around under new boss Lee Clark. They drew 2-2 with an in-form Fulham side in their last away game - a superb result in fact - and last week they held Bolton, another side in great form recently, to a 1-1 draw.

Those two recent results alone give them a chance but it's hard not to glean even more confidence when you consider the form of Rotherham at present.

Steve Evans' men have fallen into the relegation zone following six games without a win. The Millers have failed to score a single goal in their last four league matches, including two home losses - one of which was to struggling Birmingham last Saturday.

Confidence will be low at the New York Stadium, and the fact that they'll be expected to win this game will heap more pressure on the home side. It's a long shot yes, but this is a great opportunity for Blackpool to register their first away win and I'm quietly confident.

Recommended Bet
Back Blackpool to Win @ 5.49/2 (best bet)

Championship 2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 68 pts
Returned: 79.24 pts
P/L: + 11.24 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

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