Argentina fail to convince but topped Group F

Argentina fail to convince but topped Group F

By Charlie Rowing Jul 4, 2014

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Argentina finished top of their group, despite only winning each game by a one goal margin, including a stoppage time winner against minnows Iran. Read this 2014 World Cup Group F betting review for an insight into how the group turned out and how accurate the pre-tournament odds were.

2014 World Cup Group F betting review

2014 World Cup Group F final table

Nation

W

D

L

GF

GA

GD

Points

Argentina

3

0

0

6

3

3

9

Nigeria

1

1

1

3

3

0

4

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

0

2

4

4

0

3

Iran

0

1

2

1

4

-3

1

Argentina began the tournament as one of the favourites, however in each of their performances in Group F they never looked totally in control, despite odds of 1.033 to qualify – a huge implied probability of 96.81%

Bosnia-Herzegovina gave them a scare in their opening game when they pulled a goal back in the 85th minute to make it 2-1. Iran held their own against Argentina for 90 minutes until a moment of Messi magic gave them a late 1-0 win. In their final game they managed a 3-2 win against Nigeria, who twice pegged them back from losing positions.

2014 World Cup Group F pre-tournament implied probability table

Position

Nation

Odds

Implied probability

Actual finishing position

1

Argentina

1.033

96.81%

1

2

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1.833

54.56%

3

3

Nigeria

2.280

43.86%

2

4

Iran

7.440

13.44%

4

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