US Open 2014 Men's Betting: Lopez to find conditions to his liking against Dodig

Fast conditions should aid the Lopez serve today

Tennis expert Sean Calvert enjoyed another hat trick of winners on Tuesday and he's back to sort through Wednesday's card for more betting value at the US Open...

Day three of the 2014 US Open features Tomas Berdych, Stan Wawrinka and Grigor Dimitrov on the schedule, as round one completes and the last-64 begins.

Tuesday's bets began in good style when Ivo Karlovic took down Jarkko Nieminen in four sets and then only got better from there, as my Cash Out tip of Borna Coric to defeat Lukas Rosol won in straight sets at 3.55n/a before Andreas Haider-Maurer finished a great day off.

The Austrian won set one against Roberto Bautista-Agut to land the 2.20 chance about him winning a set and went on to give RBA a real test over five sets.

The only poor note on the day was the less than honest assessment of his own fitness that Kei Nishikori gave, as he seemed pretty much okay in a routine win over Wayne Odesnik.

The last two remaining in my potential upsets article play today, with Tomas Berdych and Marin Cilic the men in question and the Czech is due on Arthur Ashe Stadium Court in the heat of the day at 1pm local time.

It's set to be very hot again today, as it has been the last few days, and Lleyton Hewitt should give the out of form Berdych a test there, as should Marcos Baghdatis, who plays Cilic at around the same time on Louis Armstrong.

My first bet today is to side with Feli Lopez in this heat against Ivan Dodig, who I think will struggle more given his all-action, highly energetic style of play in their 11am local time clash on Grandstand.

Lopez has been in great nick this summer and he was very good on his favourite grass in a packed schedule where he picked up a fair few ranking points.

Since then the Spaniard picked up the pace again in Toronto after a month of little action and poor results and he made the last four in Canada in conditions that I would have thought too slow for him.

Dodig has beaten Lopez twice before, but both times they were on clay and on grass Lopez was a comfortable winner in a match I was courtside for in Eastbourne last season.

I also recall Dodig calling it quits in the heat in Melbourne at the start of this season and I think it will take a huge effort from him to win this today in a match that will likely go long in 30C temperatures.

Another likely struggler is Frank Dancevic, who also had major problems in the heat in Australia and he too will have to work very hard to get past the solid Joao Sousa in their 4pm local time clash on Court 5.

Dancevic was awful in the heat in Winston-Salem last week against Donald Young and I can't see his wild style of play overcoming the more measured approach of Sousa, who will be keen to justify his seeding here.

The 1.538/15 about a Sousa win looks pretty decent here if it turns out to be as warm as the forecasters say it will be.

Another seed who might, just might have a tough time could be Grigor Dimitrov, who has never won a match here and could drop a set against Ryan Harrison, but the American has been injured and I'm not sure he's up to this physically.

Recommended Bets
Back Lopez to beat Dodig at 1.674/6
Back Sousa to beat Dancevic at 1.538/15

Tennis profit and loss – 2014 season

Profit based on 10 stake per bet = + 1018.30