пятница, 22 августа 2014 г.

Premier League 3pm Kick-Offs: Back Chelsea to score plenty at the Bridge

Will Jose Mourinho's new look Chelsea score at least four?

Late goals by Leicester and Sunderland scuppered Mike Norman's hopes of a very profitable first weekend in the Premier League, but undeterred our man is back to preview the four games kicking off at the traditional time of 3pm this Saturday...

Crystal Palace 2.526/4 v West Ham 3.259/4; The Draw 3.39/4

Keith Millen will take charge of Crystal Palace for the second game in succession following the Eagles' last minute decision not to appoint Malky Mackay. The reasons have been well documented, and with the resignation of the club's sporting director Iain Moody it's fair to say it hasn't been a great week for the London outfit.

Palace lost their opening game of the season but it took a last minute winner by Aaron Ramsey at the Emirates Stadium for Arsenal to get the better of Millen's men, and that performance (if not the result) should give them plenty of confidence.

So often you see a club in disarray off the field pull together and perform above expectations on it, and that's the feeling that I get with Palace. They'll be difficult to beat at Selhurst Park on Saturday that's for sure, but whether they can win the game themsleves I have my doubts.

West Ham also put in a good performance at home to Tottenham but rather shot themselves in the foot before eventually losing the game - first by missing a penalty with the score at 0-0, and then by handing back their numerical advantage when James Collins received his second yellow card.

I expect this game to be extremely tight, and probably very low-scoring. I considered trading the 0-0 Correct Score (available to back at 8.615/2 from the outset) but out of the two teams I feel West Ham are more likely to get on the scoresheet.

The Hammers had a terrific 'clean sheet' record last season, and with Opta telling us that Palace scored fewer goals in London derbies than any club last term then my recommended wager is Sam Allardyce's men not to concede.

Recommended Bet
Back West Ham Clean Sheet @ 3.39/4

Chelsea 1.211/5 v Leicester 18.5n/a; The Draw 7.87/1

Chelsea were terrific to watch in the opening 45 minutes of their game at Burnley on Monday, and the only surprise to me was that they quite clearly took their foot off the gas in the second period. I was fully expecting them to lay down a marker by going on to score four or five.

Still, Jose Mourniho's men probably sent out a loud enough title warning during that first half at Turf Moor, and with Diego Costa scoring on his debut and fellow new signing Cesc Fabregas running the show, already the Blues look a cut above the rest - barring Manchester City perhaps.

So maybe the visit of newly-promoted Leicester will give Chelsea the opportunity to score at least four - odds of 3.9n/a about them doing so certainly catches the eye.

The Foxes performed well last Saturday to take a share of the spoils in a 2-2 draw with Everton and I wouldn't mind at all if Nigel Person's men went to Stamford Bridge with a mindset of nothing to lose and 'going for it'.

That would open the game up considerably, so hopefully the 'new' Blues can get on the scoresheet early and eventually score at least four.

Recommended Bet
Back Any Unquoted Correct Score @ 3.9n/a (best bet)

Southampton 1.910/11 v West Brom 4.84/1; The Draw 3.814/5

Southampton showed more than enough quality at Anfield last Sunday to suggest that, unlike many people feared following the sale of many of their big names, they won't be a relegation side this season.

Just like they were last term the Saints were excellent on the ball and in Dusan Tadic they could have an immediate replacement for Adam Lallana - the tricky Serbian midfielder looks a very good prospect and could well prove to be a big hit at St Mary's.

I'm of the view that Ronald Koeman's men will have enough quality to beat West Brom, though having spoken so positively about the Baggies last weekend I certainly don't believe Alan Irvine's men have become a bad team overnight. They dominated much of the game against Sunderland and barring a late lapse of concentration would have landed the opening weekend best bet selection.

Opta tell us that both Premier League fixtures between these two last season resulted in 1-0 wins for the Saints, and given what we witnessed last weekend I have a feeling that 1.910/11 about a home victory is a generous price. We'll see.

Recommended Bet
Back Southampton to Win @ 1.910/11

Swansea 1.684/6 v Burnley 6.25/1; The Draw 4.03/1

Easily the least appealing game on paper for me this weekend. I wrote Swansea off before a ball was kicked only for them to immediately pour egg over my face by beating Manchester United at Old Trafford.

But just as one swallow does not a summer make, then one result doesn't make a season either!

The fact is I wouldn't want to take odds-on, especially not 1.684/6, about Swansea beating any team in the Premier League, and while I admit that Garry Monk's men are deserving of being strong favourites, I believe there are better betting opportunities elsewhere.

Burnley put in a more than respectable performance against Chelsea on Monday night, even managing to get on the scoresheet which many people didn't expect them to do. You get the feeling that Sean Dyche's men will give it a real good go in the first few weeks of the season and they could be involved in some entertaining encounters.

Swansea kept just one clean sheet in their final six Premier League home games last term and I'm quite confident that the Clarets can get on the scoresheet at the Liberty Stadium. God knows where the leaves us in terms of the match outcome but I can definitely see at least three goals being scored here.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.01/1

Premier League 2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 5 pts
Returned: 3.6 pts
P/L: - 1.4 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

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