четверг, 30 октября 2014 г.

The Big Wednesday Multiple: Juventus to march on in Italy

Carlos Tevez is back in the Argentina squad

Trying to follow up last week's winner, Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections...

Bet 1: Tottenham (HOME) @ 1.44 (4/9)  

Spurs may have been beaten at home by Newcastle on Sunday but they at least now have a great opportunity to put that behind them and make it through to the quarter-finals of the Capital One Cup.

Mauricio Pochettino has never really taken cup competitions seriously in his managerial career but that might not be a bad thing this evening. His second string side featuring the likes of Harry Kane and Andros Townsend have arguably been performing better than the first team.

Brighton were tipped for big things at the start of the season following the arrival of Sami Hyypia as manager, but after 14 Championship fixtures they are down in 21st place. 

The Seagulls haven't won since a 3-0 success over Burton in the last round of this competitions back in September and I doubt they will be able to lay much of a glove on the North Londoners at White Hart Lane.

Bet 2: Juventus (AWAY) @ 1.5 (1/2) - Live on BT Sport 1 and Betfair Live Video at 19:45 GMT

Juventus have silenced any doubters this year as the reigning champions have shrugged off the loss of manager, Antonio Conte, to once again sit at the top of the league. They have a three point advantage over the resurgent, Roma, and they are yet to be beaten.

It's three wins and a draw for Massimiliano Allegri's men away from Turin, with 'The Old Lady' conceding only goal during that period. They won on this ground back in March and star striker, Carlos Tevez, has already netted half a dozen goals this year.

Genoa came from behind to beat Chievo at the weekend but it is worth noting that Chievo are in the relegation zone and had to play the final 17 minutes with 10 men - the score being 1-1 at the time of the dismissal.

Gian Piero Gasperini's side have already lost twice at Stadio Luigi Ferraris this season and their supporters must be fearing the worst with the champs in town.

Bet 3: Cagliari v AC Milan (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.7 (7/10) - Live on BT Sport 2 and Betfair Live Video at 19:45 GMT

Cagliari were rampant in a 4-0 demolition of Empoli on Saturday. All four goals came between the 31st and 45th minute and they put two past the undefeated, Sampdoria, the week before. While that wasn't enough for the win, it shows that their attackers are in great heart.

The Sardinia based club have racked up 13 goals so far this campaign, and with 11 conceded at the other end, their fixtures are averaging exactly three goals each time. Five of their eight have rewarded over 2.5 backers - including all of their home games.

AC Milan are trying to rebuild under a new manager and the initial signs are that they aren't too far away from where they were a few years ago. Filippo Inzaghi certainly prefers attack to defence, which is evidenced by their 'For and 'Against' column.

'Rossoneri' have scored 17 and conceded 11, which equates to a match average of 3.5 goals per 90 minutes. Interestingly, if we focus on their away games only, that average shoots up to a whopping 4.75 as their four away scorelines this year have been 4-5, 2-2, 1-1 and 1-3.

Bet 4: Stoke v Southampton (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.8 (4/5)  

The Capital One Cup represents a good opportunity for a crack at silverware for Stoke and Southampton as while they are both performing admirably in the league, it's highly doubtful that they will challenge for the title.

The Saints have shocked just about everybody this season with their continued improvement despite the loss of several key players. Five clean sheets out of nine proves that they are rock solid defensively, and while they put eight past Sunderland at St Mary's, three of their last five on the road have finished with under 2.5 goals.

Stoke are nicely positioned in mid-table and, like their opponents, they have done well defensively this term. With just 10 goals conceded only two other teams have let in fewer. Their matches are averaging dead on two goals each time and when they faced Southampton in the league on Saturday, the net bulged only once.

Recommended Multiple

Back Tottenham @ 1.44 (4/9)
Back Juventus @ 1.5 (1/2)
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Cagliari v AC Milan @ 1.7 (7/10)
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Stoke v Southampton @ 1.8 (4/5)

The Multiple pays approximately 6.61 (11/2)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 43 pts
Returned: 91.05 pts
P/L: + 48.05 pts
(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)

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