пятница, 31 октября 2014 г.

Opta Stats: Burnley to net at Arsenal as QPR fire blank

QPR have scored just one away goal to date this season

Opta's insights point to a red card at Newcastle, a Burnley goal at Arsenal and a Chelsea clean sheet...

Newcastle v Liverpool (Saturday, 12:45, BT Sport 1)

Newcastle have had five players sent off in their last four Premier League games against Liverpool

There were calls on Betting.Betfair not to discount Alan Pardew and his position looks the securest it has done for quite a while after three straight victories, two of them over Tottenham and Man City. However, the trends hint that Newcastle will be harmed by ill-discipline against Liverpool, who they have seen 11 players red carded against in Premier League history. They have also suffered two dismissals already this term.

Recommended Bet: Back there to be a sending off @ 4.03/1

Arsenal v Burnley (Saturday, 15:00)

Arsenal have been behind at some point in each of their four Premier League home games

The Gunners have not only failed to keep a single domestic clean sheet at the Emirates this season, they have conceded six times in four Premier League fixtures in front of their fans. They conceded first in three of those and, while Burnley are yet to claim a Premier League win, they have at least netted four times in their past three matches, as well as leading Chelsea briefly back in August.

Recommended Bet: Back Burnley to score the next (first) goal @ 5.04/1

Chelsea v QPR (Saturday, 15:00)

In their last 12 league matches at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have kept ten clean sheets

Chelsea were guilty of two troubling away concessions over the previous week at Man United and then Shrewsbury, but their defence tend to get it right far more frequently at home, leaking against none of their past three visitors (Aston Villa, Arsenal and Maribor). QPR have suffered five defeats in a row on their travels in all competitions since promotion and were unable to score in four of those.

Recommended Bet: Back Chelsea to keep a clean sheet @ 1.75/7

Stoke v West Ham (Saturday, 15:00)

West Ham have now scored in eight successive Premier League games

Whereas West Ham's best run of 2013/14 - which earned Sam Allardyce February's Premier League Manager of the Month award - was all about shutting opponents out, their current purple patch has been built around the "we're going to score one (or often two) more than you" premise. West Ham have struck 17 times in their last eight encounters, yet have been breached 11 times, winning just one clean sheet.

Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ 1.845/6

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