Against All Odds: Verona's defensive frailties to continue

This will be the reaction of under 3.5 layers after the game

Serie A is the league of choice for Paul Robinson this evening as he feels that Lazio's trip to Verona will result in plenty of goals.

Verona v Lazio
Thursday October 30, 19:45 GMT
Live on BT Sport 1 and Betfair Live Video  

Hellas Verona enjoyed a fine campaign last year considering it was their first season back in the top flight. They finished 10th in the league, scoring a whopping 62 goals - only Juventus, Napoli, Roma and Fiorentina netted more. 'Gialloblu' had started well this time around but three defeats from their last four outings has dropped them to 12th in the table.

Most worryingly for manager, Andrea Mandorlini, will be that they conceded three at home to Milan and then followed that up last week by shipping six at Napoli. Defensive issues aren't a new thing for Verona as only Livorno and Sassuolo conceded more last term.

Lazio are flying after a disappointing beginning that saw them lose three of their first four fixtures. Stefano Pioli was only appointed as their new manager during the summer though so he can be forgiven that and he's since rewarded the faith of his backers as his men have gone on to win their last four matches.

The Rome based club have really found their goalscoring touch of late, most notably new recruit, Filip orevi. The Serbian has banged in five in his last four for 'Biancocelesti' and that includes a hat trick in a 4-0 success at Palermo. Two of their last four have now gone over 3.5 goals - three out of eight for the campaign - and when these sides met last year, the scores were 3-3 and 4-1.

Just about everything is pointing towards goals tonight, so with under 3.5 trading at around the 1.491/2 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.  

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 3.5 goals in Verona v Lazio @ 1.491/2

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 292 pts
Returned: 306.49 pts
P/L: + 14.49 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)