Football Bet of the Day: Benfica to dig up goals in the Quarry

One Direction: Braga know where their match with Benfica is headed

Portugal's league leaders travel to Braga and Tobias Gourlay expects them to put on a show

Braga v Benfica
Sunday 20:15 (Live on BT Sport Extra)

Ajax 3 Go Ahead 1 in the Netherlands yesterday.

But De Boer's lot weren't quick enough out of the blocks - only 1-1 at the break and our win/win double-result bet is not made.

Benfica are top of Portugal's Primeira Liga, having scored 19 times in the first seven rounds of the season. Make it four wins out of four away games today and they will be at least four points clear of the pack.

Since Jorge Jesus took over, Benfica have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 58% of their away games (45/78). Football Form Labs data shows that, against teams in mid-table like Braga (ninth last season, running seventh right now), that rises to 67% (24/36).

At the Quarry, Sergio Conceicao's first three games in charge of Braga have brought a hat trick of home wins and eight goals scored. Since the start of 2012/13 a total of 23/33 Liga games at the Quarry (that's 70%, algebra fans) have produced Over 2.5 Goals.

At 2.1411/10 there's rock-solid value on offer tonight.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1411/10 in Braga v Benfica

2014 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 48pts
Returned: 40.57pts

-7.43pts