среда, 29 октября 2014 г.

Football Bet of the Day: Greyhounds and Garnets to deliver a goalfest

Trapani's Matteo Mancosu has been among the goals again

Kevin Hatchard's back to take us around the footballing globe, and he's starting the week in Italy.

Bologna v Trapani
Monday October 27, 19:30

I'll say one thing about Tobias Gourlay, he knows how to make a stylish exit. As he leaves us for another week to grace the vibrant nightspots of Camden Town, we salute him for yesterday's 2.1411/10 winner, as Braga's 2-1 victory over Benfica landed the Over 2.5 Goals bet.

Right then, you're stuck with me for another seven days. Stand up straight, no slouching. We're of to Italy first, and a Serie B clash between high-flying Bologna and Trapani.

Bologna were relegated from Serie A last season after a dismal campaign that saw them collect a measly five wins from their 38 games. Like a gawky teenage boy who loves Pokemon too much, scoring was their biggest problem, with just 28 goals netted over the course of the campaign.

This season the Rossoblu have found goals easier to come by under their new coach Diego Lopez, a Uruguayan who knows Italian football well after playing more than 400 games for Cagliari. Bologna have scored 12 goals in ten games, and they've only failed to hit the net in one of their four home matches. Although this is hardly Real Madrid-style goalscoring, it's a big improvement on last season, and Bologna are third in the standings.

Trapani are fourth and only behind Bologna on goal difference, and they are a walking Overs bet. The Garnets have seen eight of their ten league matches this term feature three goals or more, and on average their games contain 3.5 goals. No team in the division has a higher average of goals per match.

Much of this entertainment is down to Trapani's porous defence, which has shipped 19 goals already, and is statistically the second-worst rearguard in the division. It's just as well that they have such a stellar attack - they have scored at least twice in seven of their ten league outings.

Bologna - or the Greyhounds as they are sometimes known - are spreading their goals around, with eight different players on the scoresheet in just ten games. Trapani's main man on the goalscoring front is 29-year-old Matteo Mancosu, who scored 26 goals in Serie B last term, and has already netted six times in ten games.

Trapani only know one way to play, and I'm expecting goals again as two in-form sides go head-to-head. Overs looks far too big at 2.0811/10, so let's take advantage.

Recommended Bet

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.0811/10

2014 P/L (1pt per bet)

Points Staked: 42

Points Returned: 39.86

P/L: -2.14 points

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