Football Bet of the Day: Italy still the place to be for goals galore

Claudio Foscarini's Cittadella are an entertaining team

After a winning start to the week, Kevin Hatchard has taken the unusual decision to stay put, and bring us another selection from Italy.

Cittadella v Livorno
Tuesday October 28, 19:30

We said Trapani were an Overs backer's dream, and that dream came true last night. The Garnets took the lead after just five minutes (yesterday's poster boy Matteo Mancosu hit the target again), and by the 64th minute, Bologna had turned it around to lead 2-1 and land our wager. If you're interested, it stayed 2-1. If you're not, I just told you anyway.

Now I know my job is to take you around the globe, but we're doing something unusual and staying in the same country, and the same league. Stop moaning - I've told Alfredo to upgrade your room at the hotel, and we'll go to that lovely pizzeria later.

The reason we're staying in Italy's Serie B is that there's another Over 2.5 Goals bet where the price looks too big to ignore. Livorno, who are fifth in the standings, are travelling to face 19th-placed Cittadella.

Cittadella have scored 15 goals in ten games, and shipped 17. Seven of their ten league matches have featured three goals or more, and if you extend the statistics to all competitions, that figure becomes nine games out of 12. Claudio Foscarini's men are still looking for their first clean sheet of the campaign, and they have only failed to score twice.

Livorno are much more solid defensively, having leaked just seven league goals. However, Overs backers can take encouragement from their recent form in front of goal. The Mullets (the fish, not the hairstyle) have bashed in ten goals in their last three games, and against this permeable Cittadella defence they could have a field day.

I suspect the price of 2.3611/8 for Over 2.5 Goals is based on the fact that just four of Livorno's 11 games have featured three goals or more, but they have upped their game offensively, and Cittadella are a freewheeling side who score and concede goals regularly.

Recommended Bet

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.3611/8

2014 P/L (1pt per bet)

Points Staked: 43

Points Returned: 41.94

P/L: -1.06 points