суббота, 14 февраля 2015 г.

The Big Wednesday Multiple: Big Sam to spring big surprise

Downing is playing the best football of his career

It was another winning multiple for Paul Robinson last week and he's looking to the Barclays Premier League to provide him with a massive priced follow up. Here are his selections...

Bet 1: West Brom (HOME) @ 2.4 (7/5)  

After coming back from 2-0 down at Burnley on Sunday, West Brom will be desperate to capitalise on that momentum. Victory this evening will likely see them move four points clear of the relegation zone and up to 14th place.

Their last outing at The Hawthorns wasn't exactly a vintage performance as they were beaten 3-0 by Spurs, but prior to that they had won three out of four in front of their own crowd - the sole defeat coming at the hands of Man City.

Swansea have done well in the couple of games since the departure of Wilfried Bony and the suspension of Gylfi Sigurdsson. A smash and grab win at St Mary's was followed by a 1-1 draw with Sunderland, but I can't see Gary Monk's men extending that run here.

The Swans have thrown in some poor performances this term - especially on the road - and without Bony and Sigurdsson, they are going to struggle for goals.

Bet 2: West Ham (AWAY) @ 5.5 (9/2)  

This selection may come as a bit of a surprise but I think West Ham are massively overpriced to beat Southampton down on the south coast.

The Hammers are enjoying a wonderful campaign as not only are they in eighth place, they have been playing some cracking football. Sam Allardyce has got his players purring, with Stewart Downing playing like he's 21 again.

Having only been beaten at Old Trafford, Goodison Park, Stamford Bridge and Anfield this year, a trip to St Mary's won't hold much fear for West Ham. Yes they've only beaten Palace, Burnley and WBA on their travels, but they are in the form of their lives at present.

It's hard to knock Southampton given the season they're having but I still feel they're a touch overrated. The Saints lost their last home game and they needed an injury time winner to beat second from bottom, QPR, on Saturday.

Bet 3: Man United v Burnley (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.66 (4/6)

If this fixture was two years ago then over 2.5 goals would be a lot shorter than it is now. Obviously times have changed, but with the firepower that United have, I can't leave it un-backed at the prices.

Louis Van Gaal has come under fire for his supposed long ball tactics but United haven't had much trouble scoring at Old Trafford lately. They have netted three times in four of their last five there, and six of the last seven have rewarded over 2.5 backers.

Burnley's stats are also good for this selection as six of their last eight have had three goals or more. Five of those half dozen went over 3.5 goals, so the matches have been sailing over comfortably.

Bet 4: Stoke v Man City (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.95 (19/20)  

This should be a really close encounter as Stoke are in excellent form and Man City are struggling - especially for goals.

Mark Hughes' side had a three match winning streak ended by Newcastle on Sunday but a point at St James' Park isn't a bad result and they will fancy their chances of turning City over.

As far as the goals go, seven of their last nine in the league have seen under 2.5 backers collect and it's worth noting that the four most recent scorelines between this pair have been 0-1, 1-0, 0-0 and 0-1.

Man City have all but blown their chance of retaining their Premier League Trophy after dropping nine points in their last four games. Scoring goals has been the issue for the defending champions as they could only net once against Everton, Chelsea and Hull, and they even failed to get that many when they faced Arsenal at the Etihad.

Recommended Multiple

Back West Brom @ 2.4 (7/5);
Back West Ham @ 5.5 (9/2);
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Man United v Burnley @ 1.66 (4/6);
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Stoke v Man City @ 1.95 (19/20);

The Multiple pays approximately 42.73 (42/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 5 pts
Returned: 22.38 pts
P/L: + 17.38 pts
(2014 P/L: + 48.57pts)
(2013 P/L: - 15.49 pts)

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