пятница, 31 августа 2012 г.

The Championship Weekend Previews: Blackpool a huge price to beat Foxes

Ian Holloway's Blackpool look a big price to beat Leicester
Mike Norman is already in profit with his Championship bets this season and this weekend he hopes to add more to the coffers by backing Blackpool at a big price to beat Leicester...
Leeds 2.47/5 v Blackburn 3.39/4; The Draw 3.55/2
Leeds are playing well, there's no doubt about that. An opening day victory over Wolves was followed by an unlucky loss to early league leaders Blackpool before Neil Warnock's men got back to winning ways by beating Peterborough. Add in two impressive cup wins and it's four wins from five for United, 11 goals scored and just three conceded.
Blackburn have also started the season well going on results alone, but they haven't been playing great and that showed in midweek when they lost in the Capital One Cup to League One outfit MK Dons.
I sense Leeds are in for a good season and their form at Elland Road is going to be crucial if they are to be in the promotion picture come May. I'm not at all confident that Rovers will be there at the death however and I think the home side can win this game. Argentine striker Luciano Becchio is capable of scoring many goals at this level and he could well prove to be the difference in this encounter.
Recommended Bet: A confident Leeds side will be a match for any team this season. Back Leeds to win @ 2.47/5
Nottm Forest 2.021/1 v Charlton 4.216/5; The Draw 3.55/2
A lot of good things are expected from Forest this season but I'm not so sure. They were awful last terms and the addition of a few new faces and a bit of cash won't change things overnight. They'll improve as the season goes on but for now, and especially in this game, I think they are worth taking on.
Sean O'Driscoll's men have started the season ok but it's no wins in three now and they were thrashed in midweek on home soil by a much-changed Wigan side. In fact, Forest's only wins this term were both 1-0 victories over Fleetwood and Bristol City respectively.
Charlton have accumulated the same amount of points as Forest from their first three Championship games but their results read a little better. An away draw to Birmingham was excellent and victory over Leicester was fine too, and despite the Addicks being disappointed with a 0-0 home draw with Hull, they defended brilliantly against a very well-organised Steve Bruce side.
I'm of the opinion that Chris Powell's side can challenge for promotion this term, or at least be in the play-off picture throughout. They ran away with the League One title last season and their away form was very impressive. They're a big price here to register their first away win of this season.
Recommended Bet: Forest are ok but Charlton are still buzzing and full of confidence after last season's League One triumph. Back Charlton to win @ 4.216/5
Leicester 2.245/4 v Blackpool 3.55/2; The Draw 3.65n/a
If someone can explain to me why Leicester are strong favourites to win this game then please go ahead.
I've made no secret of the fact that I thought the Foxes were vastly under-priced to win the Championship last season and I was equally bemused as to why they were one of the pre-season favourites this term. In short, I don't think they are very good and I wish I'd have laid them at odds-on in the Top 6 Finish market.
Nigel Pearson's outfit started this season with a win over a poor Peterborough side but they've since lost three on the bounce, including a shocking home defeat to Burton in the Capital One Cup. True, Pearson rotated his squad but if you're conceding four and losing at home to a League Two side then that is arguably an indication that your squad isn't that good.
Blackpool on the other hand have started the league season in superb fashion, winning all three games, scoring 10 goals, and conceding just the one. Obviously home advantage should count for something for Leicester, but comparing each club's early season form and my general feeling on how good each side is then I can't believe that Ian Holloway's men can be backed at 3.55/2 to win this game.
Recommended Bet: Christmas might be the best part of four months away but the Tangerines at this price is an early present. Back Blackpool to win @ 3.55/2 (Best Bet)
Season P/L (1pt each bet, 2pts Best Bet)
Wagered: 12 pts
Returned: 15.76 pts
P/L: + 3.76 pts

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