Premier League Tips: Bets for every Saturday 3pm kick-off

Everton boss David Moyes
A couple of betting.betfair editors/contributors have worked in unison this week to come up with the best bets from all six of Saturday's 3pm kick-offs...
Aston Villa 3.259/4 v Everton 2.466/4; The Draw 3.45n/a
Mike Norman says...
When Opta point out the stat that tells us that Everton have won none of their last 12 Premier League fixtures against Villa then we would usually take note. A lot of us still will, but for once I'm not worried about the stats being against my thinking.
For starters, eight of those 12 games resulted in a draw, so in theory they could have went either way meaning we could quite easily be talking about Everton beating Villa in eight of their last 12 meetings. Opta also tell us that six of the last seven meetings have ended all square, so if there is to be a winner then the fact that Villa have won just one of their last 13 homes games adds confidence in my thinking that the Toffees will win this.
I thought David Moyes' men were outstanding against Manchester United on Monday night with their defence being particularly impressive. But this is a fixture that always has goals in it, whether it's played at Villa Park or at Goodison Park. The last 10 meetings have resulted in 36 goals being scored - that's 3.6 per game. Yet here we can back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.3611/8 and Over 3.5 Goals at 4.67/2.
So the choice is a tough one; go with the stats, lay Everton and back a high-scoring game, or go with your hunch and back an away win. The answer can be found immediately below.
Recommended Bet: Back Everton @ 2.466/4 to beat Aston Villa
Manchester United 1.341/3 v Fulham 12.011/1; The Draw 5.79/2

Joe Dyer says...
Not many teams get anything from their Premier League visits to Old Trafford but Fulham's recent record must be among the worst in the division. Opta stats show that the Cottagers haven't scored in their last five visits to the 19-time league champions, defeated in all five. They did score in the two before that - but they were 5-1 and 4-2 losses. However, this time around Fulham arrive on the back of a 5-0 win and face a weakened United defence, so could the travelling fans finally cheer a goal at OT?
Laying the United Clean Sheet at around 2.111/10 is a tempter, but at a bigger price let's split our stakes and back two Correct Score bets - home wins of 2-1 and 3-1, available to back at 10.09/1 and 12.5n/a respectively.
Recommended Bets: Back 2-1 @ 10.09/1 and 3-1 @ 12.5n/a
Norwich 2.47/5 v QPR 3.39/4; The Draw 3.55/2

Mike Norman says...
You lose 5-0 on the opening day of the season, and in your very next game you have to face the club that also lost 5-0. I dare say whoever loses this one will come in for a lot of support in the Relegation market.
It's a tough game to call that's for sure and I for one will be avoiding the Match Odds market. If you're following Opta though, then the stat that tells us that Norwich have won four and lost none of their last five games against QPR might persuade you to back the home side. But the markets I'm interested in are the Goals markets.
Opta inform us that The Canaries kept just three clean sheets on home soil last term, whilst Rangers have gone 16 Premier League away games without preventing the opposition from scoring. In a nutshell then, Both teams to Score looks the safest option here - available to back at 1.728/11.
Recommended Bet: Back Both teams to Score @ 1.728/11
Southampton 2.186/5 v Wigan 3.711/4; The Draw 3.55n/a

Joe Dyer says...
Southampton nearly gave champions Manchester City an almighty fright when taking a 2-1 lead midway through the second-half at the Etihad. They lost in the end, of course, but it was a nice statement of intent from last year's Championship top scorers (85 goals in 46 league matches). Wigan conceded on 62 occasions in the Premier League last season, by no means the highest total but certainly a large amount.
Opta stats show that Latics' away games tend to be goal-laden affairs - Roberto Martinez's outfit have scored in all but one of their last 14 away games, and have kept just one clean sheet in their last 18 on the road. Despite the stats pointing to goals the market has no real preference for overs or unders, both available to back at around evens. That, then, makes Over 2.5 Goals a clear back and it would be no surprise were Rickie Lambert to get his name on the scoresheet for the second week in succession.
Recommended Bets: Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9720/21 & Back Rickie Lambert to score @ 2.89/5
Sunderland 1.9620/21 v Reading 4.57/2; The Draw 3.65n/a

Mike Norman says...
After a great run of form immediately following the arrival of Martin O'Neill Sunderland have now gone nine Premier League games without a win. Admittedly, with a break between seasons that stat perhaps isn't as worrying as it would be if it were mid-season, but it's not an ideal run of form that's for sure.
Opta tell us that the Black Cats have also failed to score in six of their last eight league games, another worry, but avoiding defeat away to Arsenal on the opening day of the season was certainly encouraging.
I think there's definitely been a change of approach by newly-promoted clubs in recent years. Instead of going into games with the burden of being relegation favourites they now going into games with the feeling of nothing to lose. They also bring forward the confidence and momentum from the previous 'promotion' season. All this was in evidence for Reading on Wednesday night away to Chelsea and they can count themselves very unfortunate to come away empty handed.
So the way I see this game going is Reading giving it another go, and Sunderland being a little edgy trying to get back to winning ways.
Recommended Bet: Lay Sunderland @ 1.9720/21
Tottenham 1.558/15 v West Brom 7.26/1; The Draw 4.57/2

Joe Dyer says...
Last weekend's results don't give us much of a steer for this one. Spurs hit the woodwork three times against Newcastle in a 2-1 defeat, while West Brom benefitted from Daniel Agger's sending off in beating Liverpool 3-0. I'm a Spurs fan but even I can't be the only one who thinks Tottenham are never the most comfortable of odds-on shots (they're 1.558/15 to win this) despite a record of 13 wins and two defeats in their last 18 at White Hart Lane, and I wouldn't want to back them at that sort of price. Finally signing Emmanuel Adebayor to a permanent contract will come as a boost to all at the Lane, though he's not a certain starter, and as the transfer machinations continue it's doubtful whether we'll see home favourite Rafael van der Vaart on Saturday too.
Nevertheless, Spurs look potent and, should he start, Jermain Defoe must be fancied to register. Opta tell us he's scored in his last three games against the Baggies and this most streaky of strikers has netted for both England and Spurs in the last 10 days. It wouldn't be a surprise were JD to get a yard of space and smash home from 25 yards, as is his wont.
Recommended Bet: Back Jermain Defoe To Score @ 2.26/5