World Cup Opta Stats: Brazil won't win it in 90 minutes

Fred has only scored one goal for Brazil at this World Cup

The Opta trends point to Brazil failing to get the job done in normal time once more against Colombia...

Brazil v Colombia
Friday, 21:00
Live on ITV

Match Odds: Brazil 1.8810/11, Colombia 4.84/1, The Draw 3.7511/4

Brazil have reached the quarter-finals at the last six World Cups, but haven't gone further since 2002

Home advantage and a 12-match unbeaten head-to-head record explain why Brazil are odds-on to eliminate Colombia in 90 minutes, but the evidence of this World Cup - as well as the hosts' quarter-final flops against France in 2006 and Netherlands in 2010 - indicates that they are there for the laying. Whereas Colombia have put away all four of their opponents in regulation time, Brazil only have a 50% success rate at the same task, being held by Mexico and outperformed over two hours by Chile.

Best Bet: Lay Brazil to win @ 1.8910/11

Colombia have failed to score in nine of their last 12 games against Brazil

After watching Colombia pick apart Greece, Ivory Coast, Japan and Uruguay, you will probably have difficulty accepting that James Rodriguez won't net, let alone that the whole team will be kept quiet. However, the stats suggest that a stop-off at shutoutsville beckons. Brazil have prevented seven of their last 11 adversaries from striking, while Colombia don't score so freely against world football's elite, firing blanks in two of their last three clashes with other World Cup 2014 quarter-finalists.

Recommended Bet: Back Brazil to keep a clean sheet @ 2.427/5

The last four games between Brazil and Colombia have ended in draws, with three finishing goalless

Neymar plus Oscar plus Rodriguez plus Juan Cuadrado isn't the most obvious recipe for a 0-0 draw, but a three-in-four strike rate isn't easily dismissed. It is also notable that the knockout-round stalemate has overtaken the group-stage goalfest as this World Cup's most fashionable flavour, with the final three round-of-16 ties reaching the full-time whistle without a goalkeeper being beaten and the one before that producing 78 minutes of deadlock. Brazil have already partaken in one 0-0 this summer.

Recommended Bet: Back the 0-0 draw @ 10.09/1