среда, 25 июня 2014 г.

World Cup Opta Stats: Oranje ripe for a third comeback

The Netherlands came from behind to defeat Spain and Australia

The trends seem to favour Netherlands and Spain ahead of their final Group B clashes with Chile and Australia...

Netherlands v Chile
Monday, 17:00
Live on ITV

Match Odds: Netherlands 2.727/4, Chile 2.767/4, The Draw 3.65n/a

Chile have won only two of their last 11 World Cup clashes with European opposition

Admittedly, one of those triumphs arrived five days ago against world champions Spain, but this is one of several stats that suggests that Chile are at risk of a comedown. Additionally, they have never won three games in a row at one World Cup, whereas Netherlands last lost a group tie in 1994 and concluded their 2010 quartet with a 100% winning record, a feat that they are on course to repeat.

Recommended Bet: Lay Chile (draw no bet) to win @ 2.0421/20

The Dutch have won three of the last four World Cup games in which they've gone behind

The Netherlands' defence aren't as good at the whole keeping-goals-out routine as Robin van Persie (suspended tonight), Arjen Robben and friends are at scoring them, they often have to win the hard way, but they usually do so, recovering from 1-2 down against Australia and 0-1 down to Spain and Brazil. Chile broke the deadlock in their first two Group B ties, so another comeback may be needed.

Best Bet: Back Netherlands to win from behind @ 11.010/1

Australia v Spain
Monday, 17:00
Live on ITV4

Match Odds: Australia 8.27/1, Spain 1.4640/85, The Draw 5.04/1

Spain have never lost all three games in a World Cup group

Even more significantly, Spain have never exited the World Cup without securing a victory first, and their final fixture comes against another side who don't have a point to their name yet. Australia have been beaten in each of their last six collisions with European teams and have won just two out of 12 matches in their World Cup existence, so take advantage of bigger Spain win odds than usual.

Recommended Bet: Back Spain to win @ 1.4740/85

In winning Euro 2008, World Cup 2010 and Euro 2012, Spain conceded six goals, one fewer than so far at World Cup 2014

Spain should score their first World Cup 2014 points at the final attempt against the Socceroos, though a clean sheet will prove trickier to obtain. Not only have the once-impenetrable Spanish backline appeared to have spent too much time watching Titus Bramble and Jean-Alain Boumsong compilations pre-tournament, Australia found the net in each of their first two encounters.

Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ 1.875/6

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