Against All Odds: Brazil to be opposed at a ridiculous price

Chile are full of talent

Tournament hosts, Brazil, kick of the round of 16 at this year's World Cup and Paul Robinson thinks they'll struggle to get the job done against Chile in normal time.

Brazil v Chile
Saturday June 28, 17:00 BST
Live on BBC 1

Brazil may have topped their group with seven points but their performances weren't exactly anything to write home about. A 3-1 win over Croatia was closer than the result suggested and they followed that up with an uninspired display to draw 0-0 with Mexico. They did then go on to beat Cameroon 4-1, but the Africans were already eliminated and in disarray.

Luiz Felipe Scolari is under increasing pressure to deliver the World Cup trophy in their home country but he could have had a better draw than Chile. While the Brazilians have a fine record over their South American rivals, this isn't a vintage Brazil squad and they rely heavily on Neymar. They also look vulnerable at the back and it's hard to see them keeping a clean sheet.

Chile were one of the dark horses for the World Cup but they've done well just to get out of a group that contained both Holland and Spain. After helping themselves to a 3-1 victory over Australia, they were excellent in a 2-0 success against the Spanish. A defeat to Holland in the final game saw them finish as runners up but with their victory over the reigning champions fresh in their mind, an encounter with Brazil won't hold much fear.

Jorge Sampaoli's side have an excellent array of attacking talent with Alexis Sanchez and Eduardo Vargas leading the line. The pair are backed up by Juventus' Arturo Vidal and not only does he provide quality in the forward areas, he offers plenty of steel in the centre of midfield. 

I would have Brazil at nearer even money than their current price to get the win inside of 90 minutes. I'm not suggesting that they won't go through in the end, but at around the 1.584/7 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.  

Recommended Bet
Lay Brazil v Chile @ 1.584/7 

2014 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 172 pts
Returned: 184.97 pts
P/L: + 12.97 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)