Wimbledon 2014: Murray's smooth progress to continue against Anderson

Sean expects Murray to have few problems against Anderson

It was a very profitable week one of Wimbledon 2014 for Sean Calvert, who's siding with Andy Murray to make short work of Kevin Anderson on Monday...

The rain decimated Saturday's play at Wimbledon 2014, leaving several of the players in the men's draw up against a tough schedule for the remainder of the tournament.

One match that did complete was a winner for us, as Nick Kyrgios recorded a four set win over Jiri Vesely, while my other wager in the John Isner/Feli Lopez match carries over to Monday.

That one is scheduled for 11:30am on Monday now and Lopez will appreciate the extra day off in the short-term, but he'll have to pay for it in the coming days if he's successful.

I personally always find the scheduling of this tournament somewhat bizarre and surely this sort of situation can be avoided by simply starting matches earlier, rather than the ridiculously late 1pm on show courts and 11.30am on outside courts.

We would then avoid the farcical situations we've seen in recent days, where Marin Cilic, Madison Keys and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga were playing in close to darkness.

Anyway, Monday is now packed with third and fourth round matches and Andy Murray will play at around 3pm on Centre Court against Kevin Anderson.

The big South African stunned Murray the last time they met, which was way back in 2011 on hard courts in Montreal, but it's hard to see him catching the Brit cold this time.

Anderson had a back problem that required a MTO against Fabio Fognini in the last round and that can't be good news for Kevin as he tries to beat a top-10 player on grass for the first time.

Murray doesn't tend to struggle against big servers like Anderson and it'll be the latter's movement and rather stiff, robotic game style that is likely to let him down here.

Andy will give Kevin no real rhythm to work with and he won't like the differing pace, angles and slices that Murray will no doubt produce to knock Anderson off his stride.

Fabio Fognini did that rather well in the last round until a combination of an injury and his brain let the Italian down again. That won't be happening with the defending champion today.

I like the minus 7.5 games on Murray here, with the Brit holding a 13-1 record against the 'big servers' I have on my stats list and the only loss was against Tsonga in Nottingham in 2004.

Murray, if successful on Monday, will next meet the winner of Grigor Dimitrov and Leonardo Mayer and as usual the layers are giving too much respect to the Bulgarian with a quote of around 1.11/10, which is a crazy price.

Dimitrov is coming off the back of a five set match with Alex Dolgopolov in his last match and so far in his career Grigor hasn't come back after a five set match and won the next one.

Mayer has all the shots and for grass and decent movement and while you won't see him at the net much he can hang with Grigor from the back of the court and he has an equally good single-handed backhand, a good serve and powerful forehand.

He doesn't have the mental strength of others at the top of the game, but he can do enough to take a set here at least and a lay of Dimitrov 3-0 or a back of Mayer 'to win a set' look the ones here.

The Argentine is around 2.3811/8 to win a set and that looks worth a bet to me, with Dimitrov not proven after five setters and only once in his Grand Slam career has he won a match against a top-50 player in straight sets.

Mayer will jump up inside the top-50 after this tournament and should be win on Monday he'll probably go as high as number 36.

Recommended Bets

Back Murray -7.5 games to beat Anderson at 2.427/5
Back Mayer to win a set against Dimitrov at 2.3811/8

Wimbledon 2014 profit and loss

Staked: 170.00 (based on 10 per bet)
Return: 266.00
Profit: +96.00