среда, 4 июня 2014 г.

International Tips: Goal-light Uruguay to go low again

Diego Forlan isn't as prolific as Luis Suarez nowadays

Michael Lintorn tips Netherlands and Uruguay to have their scoring capped at two, and Argentina to win to nil...

Netherlands v Wales
Wednesday, 19:30
Live on S4C and BBC Two Wales

Match Odds: Netherlands 1.241/4, Wales 18.5n/a, The Draw 6.611/2

Welsh morale has been lifted by a four-match unbeaten run in which they beat Macedonia and Iceland and held Belgium and Finland, but they are doing their best to burst any feel-good bubble by heading to Amsterdam without Aaron Ramsey and Gareth Bale to face the World Cup 2010 finalists.

Their hosts aren't in full flow yet though, scoring twice across their last four fixtures, and they have only grabbed more than two goals in one of their last 11 encounters. Wales have conceded more than two in just one of their last 12 outings, so there is no real evidence that they will be shown up.

Recommended Bet: Lay Netherlands to score three or more goals @ 2.35/4

Argentina v Trinidad and Tobago
Wednesday, 23:30
Live on Betfair Live Video

Match Odds: Argentina 1.111/9, Trinidad and Tobago 32.031/1, The Draw 11.5n/a

The theory goes that while Argentina boast the best front three at this summer's World Cup in Lionel Messi, Gonzalo Higuain and Sergio Aguero, they risk having their challenge sabotaged by a mediocre backline. However, their defence has held up well recently, hushing up their last three opponents.

Trinidad and Tobago, whose spearhead Kenwyne Jones has scored a mere five goals across the past three Premier League seasons, shouldn't scupper their shutout streak. They have fired eight blanks in 14 internationals, so the win to nil is the standout punt. If you require plumper odds, consider 2-0 at 6.86/1.

Recommended Bet: Back Argentina to win to nil @ 1.68/13

Uruguay v Slovenia
Thursday, 00:30
Live on Betfair Live Video

Match Odds: Uruguay 1.412/5, Slovenia 10.5n/a, The Draw 4.77/2

While England prepare for the World Cup by facing a couple of South American nations that aren't quite as good as Uruguay, Oscar Tabarez's squad are responding by tackling a few former Three Lions conquests: first Northern Ireland (defeated 1-0 over the weekend) and now Slovenia.

This Montevideo meeting should allow the two sides to bond over a shared love of low-scoring fare. Luis Suarez-less Uruguay have partaken in three successive games with under 2.5 goals, each of which averaged just one, and six of Slovenia's last seven matches have served up two goals or less.

Best Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.84/5

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