вторник, 4 сентября 2012 г.

Timeform Radio Racing Tips: Two to follow at Wolverhampton

Has Rory found a pair to follow at Wolverhampton?
Rory Delargy assesses the best bets at Wolverhampton ahead of his stint in the Timeform Radio pundit's chair
With Hamilton off and Ffos Las still something of a mystery, the key meeting today takes place on the polytrack at Wolverhampton, and the best bet comes in what looks an excellent maiden at 15:00.
Top on Timeform ratings is the Richard Hannon-trained Woodlandsway, and the Oasis Dream filly has improved with each start, showing bright speed over 6f at Goodwood last time. If anything, she gives the impression that she will do better at the minimum trip, and I prefer the claims of Royal Steps in this contest.
James Tate's filly was runner-up in a nursery over 7f here last time, and while that four-runner affair may appear uncompetitive in terms of numbers, it's worth noting that the third, Wellingrove, went very close in a similar event at Epsom a week ago, and that Effie B, who was last of four has gone on to win a nursery at Sandown on Friday. Royal Steps shaped like the best horse in the race there, not really settling in the small field, but getting the better of a protracted battle with the third before being mugged on the line by Pippy. The drop back to 6f in what is likely to be a strongly-run affair will suit, and she should get a lead from her main market rival before swooping late to conquer.
Jawaab lines up for the 18:00 contest off a mark of 60, some 20lbs lower than when he landed a 1m4f handicap at the course last spring. He's been below form for the most part since, but did win a charity race at York in June which doesn't appear in the formbook, and he shaped as if returning to form when a creditable third at Newcastle last time.
In both those races he went without his customary eye-shields, and the removal of the headgear seems to have coincided with an upturn in his fortunes. He stayed on well over 1m6f last time, and looks worth a try at this trip now.
Top weight Green To Gold will be popular, but has taken a hike in the weights since landing a gamble on turf at Folkestone in July (also won over fences last time), and while many will view the booking of Jamie Spencer as a big positive, the pair have actually finished last on both previous occasions when they've teamed up. Looks Like Rain was given a poor ride by Richard Hughes last time at Goodwood, but that was noted by many, and he's also likely to be overbet, as everyone loves an unlucky loser.
A bigger threat may come from the bottom horse Scripturist, who showed his first form to win easily at Yarmouth under the much-improved Noel Garbutt, and may not be stopped by a penalty if he can show that effort wasn't a flash in the pan.
Recommended Bets
Back Royal Steps in the 15:00 Wolverhampton @ 3.55n/a (NAP)
Back Jawaab in the 17:00 Wolverhampton @ 9.617/2 (NB)

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