суббота, 29 сентября 2012 г.

NFL Betting: Pats to snap that losing habit with a win in Buffalo

Bill Belichick gets shouty as New England go down 30-31 at Baltimore
Two defeats on the trot is not what we have come to expect from New England, but they have a quick shot at redemption in Buffalo on Sunday evening and Luca Bercelli expects them to grab it...
Patriots' fans have not had the start to the season they anticipated and the sense of disappointment has permeated down to the normally staid head coach Bill Belichick. Last week he was fined $50,000 for 'impermissable physical contact' which, in plain English, roughly translates as grabbing the umpire by the arm. A big fine for a very small incident.
His obvious frustrations should be assuaged this week, however, as the opportunity to get back on track presents itself immediately with a trip to the 2-1 Bills.
Buffalo have built some early success around their running game but the man who's been dodging through the defensive lines, CJ Spiller, sprained his shoulder last week and is not even guaranteed to start. Without him at 100% or even out of the game altogether, they face an uphill battle against a team who haven't lost three games in a row for more than 10 years. That's a streak Belichick will be desperate to keep intact and the signs are that he will.
A 1-2 record would appear to be a disaster for the Pats but their two losses have been heartbreakers by the margins of two and one point respectively. Both teams that have beaten them are off to flyers (Arizona 3-0 and Baltimore 3-1) so it's not as if they've been tonked (yes, that's another technical term) by bad sides.
The Bills' dodgy pass defence will struggle to contain Gronkowski, Welker and co through the air and as New England will be desperate to get off to a fast start a Pats' touchdown might be worth an interest in the First Scoring Play market @ 3.55/2.
Although I expect Brady's bunch to come out on top they are unlikely to run away with it, so New England winning margins of 1-6 @ 5.59/2 and 7-12 @ 7.5n/a could be the sensible plays.
Recommended Bets
Back a New England touchdown @ 3.55/2 first scoring play
Back New England to win by 1-6pts @ 5.59/2 and 7-12pts @ 7.5n/a

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