понедельник, 1 октября 2012 г.

Follow The Money: Red Monday?

Have FTM picked some Monday winners?
Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Bath and Newton Abbot...
Starting at Newton Abbot in the 15:30 Handicap Chase (Class 4) over two miles and half a furlong Mibleu has drifted out to 4.3100/30. The 12-year-old veteran bounced back to form impressively winning at this track three weeks ago by 11 lengths and will be hard to stop if in the same form. However, there are grounds to think today will be tougher, firstly the ground is forecast to be soft and that does not suit Mibleu who performs best on a sound surface and combined with a 9lb rise for winning last time out, makes today's task a tougher assignment, and he should find at least one too good today.
Over at Bath, in the 15:50 1m2f (Class 5) Wordismybond has been backed in to 10.09/1 from 15.55n/a. The three-year-old colt won last time out at Yarmouth over one mile and if he can stay the extra two furlongs he may have a chance today in this reasonably competitive handicap. The sire stats indicate that less than five % of Monsieur Bonds offspring win at 1m 2f which is not very encouraging, and consequently Wordismybond is more of an each way chance at best.
Finally, at Newton Abbot in the 16:30 Handicap Chase (Class 5) over three miles two-and-a-half furlongs, Thirtytwo Red has been the main back of the day moving in to 4.904/1 from 13.012/1. The 11-year-old gelding hasn't shown too much in his recent form. He has changed stables and does have bottom weight 10st and that may be more significant with the forecast soft/heavy ground. He has plenty of stamina, having won a four mile race in April, so conditions should suit.
Recommended Bets
Lay Mibleu @ 4.30100/30 Newton Abbot 15:30
Back Wordismybond @ 10.09/1 Bath 15:50
Back Thirtytwo Red @ 4.904/1 Newton Abbot 16:30

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