среда, 31 октября 2012 г.

The Big Wednesday Multiple: Liverpool and Swansea to give us goals

Brendan Rodgers will be desperate for a win tonight

It's that time of the week for the big Wednesday multiple as Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

Bet 1: Atletico MG (HOME) @ 1.5 (1/2)

Our home win this week comes from Brazil as second placed, Atletico MG take on 14th placed, Flamengo.

Atletico MG are enjoying a fine campaign under manager, Cuca, and they are still in with an outside chance of becoming champions. That would require leaders, Fluminense, to slip up in the run in, but even if they don't, Copa Libertadores qualification looks pretty safe.

The Rooster have gone undefeated at home all season, with the only slip ups being a trio of draws. In their last fixture at Estdio Independncia, they showed their class to beat the aforementioned, Fluminense, by three goals to two.

Flamengo's away form has been pretty dire; three wins all year and four defeats in their last half dozen. They are conceding too many goals on their travels, shipping 13 in the last six.

Bet 2: Malaga (AWAY) @ 1.44 (4/9)

We go to Spain in search of our away win this week as Malaga should make their class tell in their Copa del Rey Cup tie against Cacereno.

Cacereno are plying their trade down at the Segunda B level and while they are unbeaten in six, they haven't faced anyone of Malaga's class. They have even lost two of their last four at home, and that is in a division two tiers below their opponents this evening.

Malaga will of course be resting players for this one given their European commitments, but their second string are still more than adequate and they will be looking to impress manager, Manuel Pellegrini.

Bet 3: Liverpool v Swansea (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.61 (8/13)

Our goal fest comes from England as Brendan Rodgers faces his former club in the Capital One Cup.

Liverpool have a pretty thin squad so while they will be playing a weakened line up tonight, it is likely to still feature household names. Jamie Carragher will no doubt captain the team but age is catching up with him and he has often proved a liability in recent appearances.

Stewart Downing, Joe Cole and the promising, Oussama Assaidi could well be the main attacking protagonists and they all have statements to make to the manager.

Swansea will chop and change their XI as well, but their squad isn't that deep either, so the team won't be overly weakened. Danny Graham has struggled this year but he will be on a mission to get back his starting place and he could have some joy against the Liverpool back four.

Both of these two have been involved in some pretty high scoring affairs this season, especially in cup competitions, and I expect more of the same tonight.

Bet 4: Cagliari v Siena (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.61 (8/13)

We finish in Italy for what looks like a drab, low scoring game between Cagliari and Siena in Serie A.

Cagliari are 11th in the table after picking up 11 points from their opening nine games. They have scored just six goals to date though which is the joint lowest in the division. Their matches are averaging a mere 1.89 goals each time and their last three in a row have all finished 1-0.

Siena are rock bottom of the table with a paltry three points. They did have six deducted though so they aren't a write off just yet. As far as the goals go; they have scored nine and conceded 10, giving their games an average of 2.11 goals per 90 minutes.

Recommended Multiple
Back Atletico MG @ 1.5 (1/2); Back Malaga @ 1.44 (4/9); Back Over 2.5 Goals in Liverpool v Swansea @ 1.61 (8/13); Back Under 2.5 Goals in Cagliari v Siena @ 1.61 (8/13); The Multiple pays approximately 5.64 (9/2)

Multiple prices are based on our Fixed Odds product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

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