вторник, 18 сентября 2012 г.

League Two Tips: Hyltons return can keep Shots on target

Danny Hylton's return should get Aldershot firing again
Ian Lamont gets stuck into four of tonight's League Two matches beginning with Aldershot's home game with Barnet...
Aldershot 1.768/11 Barnet 5.59/2 Draw 3.814/5
Danny Hylton's return from an eight-game ban should jolt Aldershot's stuttering attack into life. Just the mere threat of his presence should be enough to make his fellow strikers sit up. Quirky Hylton won't be shot shy, although he might be lacking in match sharpness and might not last the whole game. Aldershot really must spark their season into life with this second home game running against opponents expected to struggle. Mark Robson will surely fancy his chances of the Bees taking a point because, frankly, the Shots are not proving as good at present as Barnet's conquerors so far - Bradford, Gillingham, Rochdale and York. But with not even a goal away from home yet, even a point could prove tricky for Barnet.
Recommended Bet
Back Aldershot at 1.768/11
Exeter 1.9210/11 Wycombe 4.67/2 Draw 3.65n/a
Show more purpose at home, demanded Paul Tisdale of his side this week, after a draw at St James Park with York City. John O'Flynn scored a late goal, his fourth of the season, to rescue a point as Exeter's run of four straight wins was arrested. The Grecians have shown great purpose on home soil previously, but did lose on the opening day to Morecambe. So Jamie Cureton, who has three goals in three games, is unlikely to be risked for 90 minutes, says his manager. Wycombe have made a less than impressive start, putting pressure on Gary Waddock to start producing. Dean Morgan is a welcome addition but Jo Kuffour needs to start proving that Bristol Rovers and Gillingham were wrong to let him go in the past six months.
Recommended Bet
Back Exeter to win at 1.9210/11
Gillingham 2.1411/10 Southend 3.711/4 Draw 3.613/5
Bravery or foolishness prompts me to try to call this one. Martin Allen's men can expect a tighter game, certainly, than their last two big victories, so under 2.5 goals seems the play, which was the result in Gillingham's games against Chesterfield and Wycombe. The Gills have conceded just four times in an unbeaten six games that has been an almost relentless march to the top, Danny Kedwell scoring five. Southend made a slower start, but have really started to find their feet, scoring 10 goals in four unbeaten games, winning the last three. One big reason is Britt Assombalonga, who is clearly as much of a handful on the pitch as his name is a mouthful off it, given his goal ratio. The teenage striker, who has extended his loan from Watford until the New Year, has scored five goals in four games. He even scored after extending his loan - a good sign as plenty of players gain security then go off the boil. Defences will be given a real workout here, but I expect them to come out on top.
Recommended Bets
Back under 2.5 goals at 2.0811/10
And the draw at 3.613/5
Fleetwood 2.01/1 Port Vale 4.1n/a Draw 3.65n/a
At the price, Fleetwood look attractive. With so many teams odds-on, one would think a team with four straight wins, 10 goals scored and just one goal conceded in that time would be shorter priced. Four players sharing the goals in that time is also a positive. Have Fleetwood hit a peak and come down again after waiting 90 minutes to score the only goal in their game against Northampton? It is surely a good sign. Teams who can win handsomely and also squeeze out results are heading to the top of the division. Facing Port Vale will be a tougher test than of late, with Micky Adams' men scoring 13 in four games. If Fleetwood's patience paid off on Saturday, Vale's did even better. A goal down early at Plymouth, Adams just massaged egos at half-time and found Ahley Vincent and Jennison Myrie-Williams responded out wide, as the Valiants scored three times in 12 minutes midway through the half to win the game. So, when Vale get going, they really get going. Maybe Adams has rekindled that upward curve - despite all the financial problems - he found before leaving a couple of years ago. The away win may be the midweek upset I hunt for. The safe play is laying the hosts.
Recommended Bet
Lay Fleetwood at 2.01/1

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