суббота, 6 декабря 2014 г.

Overs or Unders: Leicester and Villans to be our goalscoring heroes

Fox in the box: Leonardo Ulloa should get chances to add to his five goals for the season

The Etihad and Villa Park are the places to be this weekend if you're looking for goals. That's according to Neil Harvey, as he explains now in this week's Overs or Unders...

Saturday

Hull v West Brom - 15:00

It's 16th against 17th in a game that takes place on the periphery of the drop zone. With both teams sure to be afraid of losing to a close relegation rival, that really ups the fear factor in this match, which I think we'll see reflected in the play. And that extra tension is unlikely to improve the creativity levels of two teams who've been far from prolific this season. Hull have scored one goal or less in half of their home games, while the Baggies have failed to score at all in exactly half their away matches.

Down the other end of the pitch, things have been equally tight. West Brom have conceded a little over a goal a game on the road. And Steve Bruce's Tigers have been similarly mean within the confines of the Kingston Communications Stadium, letting-in just eight goals in six outings. 

Recommended Bet
Back Goals Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.75/7

Manchester City v Everton - 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

Man City have the scent of the title back in their nostrils after closing to within six points of leaders Chelsea, and that should see them reinvigorated for this upcoming clash with Everton. With nine goals scored in their last three games, City look to be back to their attacking best. Scoring three goals away to Southampton was especially impressive and suggests that Everton's defence could be in for a torrid evening.

The Toffees though are more than capable though of going toe to toe, even with the likes of City. After all, Roberto Martinez's side have scored in every one of their away games this season. So even a trip to the Etihad should hold few fears. And they should hold even less, when you consider that City have conceded to five of their six visitors to date.

Beyond that, each of Everton's last five away games have seen both teams score. And that's a run I can see continuing here, with City sure to be risking all late-on should they need to, while Everton also need the full three points as they look to fight their way back into the European placings.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goas @ 1.574/7

Sunday

West Ham United v Swansea City - 13:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

Both these sides are currently riding high in the Premier League, in fifth and seventh places respectively. But given the crowded situation in the middle of the table that could potentially change very quickly. And that might perhaps foster a cautious approach at times. Certainly since reaching the heady heights of the top four, West Ham seem to have stepped on the creative brakes. Their last two home games produced just one goal, via a 0-0 draw with Aston Villa and a 1-0 win over Newcastle. But that should perhaps come as little surprise, when you consider that the Hammers have been less productive at home than they have on the road, all season, with their seven matches at Upton Park having produced just 15 goals.

It's a similar story for Swansea, whose seven away games have also yielded just 15 goals. And talking more recently, the Swans last four road trips have included two 0-0 draws. So there's a good chance Gary Monk's team may once again shut up shop, against an opponent that on paper at least appears to be superior.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.8810/11

Aston Villa v Leicester City - 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

Leicester had been on a poor run in terms of goalscoring. But two strikes at QPR last weekend and a goal against Liverpool in midweek suggests they've found their shooting boots again. And that timing would appear to be just right for them, as they get ready to face an Aston Villa side that's been conceding with regularity at home. Of the last five teams to go to Villa Park, all five found the net, scoring nine goals between them.

There should be just as many opportunities though for the home team, if not more, against a Leicester side that's conceded at least two goals in five of its seven away games.  I know, Villa have not been prolific at home this season. It's true. But just look at the opponents they've faced, the last four of whom were Arsenal, Man City, Spurs and Southampton. It's clearly been a tough run for the Villains. But they should find Villa Park a much happier hunting ground against the Foxes.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.26/5

2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 48pts
Returned: 50.71pts
P/L: +2.71

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