The land of the free...money
It's MLS action for Paul Robinson tonight as he thinks that the game between Portland Timbers and Dallas will be full of goals.
Portland Timbers v Dallas
Thursday June 12 2014, 03:00 BST
Live on BT Sport 1 and Betfair Live Video
Portland Timbers come into this match sitting sixth in the Western Conference after 15 fixtures. They've only lost four times, but a total of seven draws - nearly 50% of their games - has cost them dear. Three wins in their last four will have buoyed them though and they will be hopeful of adding to that trio of away victories back on home soil tonight.
It's the goal-side of things we're concentrating on here however and with 26 scored and 25 conceded, their matches have been averaging 3.4 goals each time. Caleb Porter's men have seen four of their last five go over 2.5 and their last six scorelines at Providence Park were 4-4, 1-1, 3-2, 1-1, 3-3 and 3-4.
Dallas are one place and two points above their opponents but they have played a game more. Their problem hasn't been winning - they've earned maximum points on a respectful six occasions this term - but conversely, they've tasted defeat seven times.
As far as the goals go, their matches are averaging 3.25 goals per 90 minutes as they've both scored and conceded 26 times. scar Pareja's side won their last match 3-2 at home to Colorado and that now means that three of their last four have gone over 2.5 goals. It's also worth noting that while they drew their last away game 0-0, prior to that their results were a 4-1 win, a 4-1 defeat and a trio of 2-1 losses.
Those staying up late to watch the action should be in for a treat as all the stats are pointing towards goals. That's why, with under 3.5 trading at around the 1.538/15 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Recommended Bet
Lay Under 3.5 goals in Portland Timbers v Dallas @ 1.538/15
2014 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 158 pts
Returned: 172.44 pts
P/L: + 14.44 pts (after commission)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)
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