Football Bet of the Day: AIK carumba!

Spinning Around: You too should be giddy with excitement about today's game from Sweden

You don't get Mexican standoffs in Sweden, advises Tobias Gourlay, you just get a lot of people shooting on sight

Cruzeiro 4 Chapecoense 2 in yesterday's late game from Brazil.

The home side beat the handicap, which means we are back in black for the first time since this column started.

That's right, if you'd stuck a tenner on all 20 of our bets, you'd have risked 200 in total, and all for a profit of 10p.

Worth sticking with us, we think you'll agree.

Norrkoping are second in the Allsvenskan, seven points behind Malmo. With nine rounds of the 30-game season to go, they need wins, wins and more wins if they're going to raise a challenge to the league leaders.

That should be no problem for the attackers, who have scored just one goal fewer than the team above them. It's in defence where Norrkoping could fall short. They've conceded more goals than anyone else in the top seven.

At Idrottsparken recently, 6/8 games have produced Over 2.5 Goals. Since Janne Andersson took charge at the start of the 2011 season, Norrkoping's home record is 35/55 with three goals or more, which would suggest a price below 1.68/13 for this afternoon's game.

AIK Solna are third bottom of the league but have its second best away record and have scored more goals per away game than anyone else (19 in nine games).

Eight of those nine games have finished with Over 2.5 Goals. Since Andreas Alm took over around the same time as his counterpart today, 32/53 have gone the same way. Even this suggests a price the wrong side of 1.75/7.

Note the earlier than usual kick-off time. This one's worth getting up for.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.758/11 in Norrkoping v AIK

2014 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 20pts
Returned: 20.01pts

+0.01pts